NextBigFuture.com

I made 193 correct resolved public predictions in a row on Metaculus. Everything that I predicted and resolved over the last 78 days was correct. A prediction could have been made over the last year or longer but the answer was determined so that the prediction became true or false. This compare to the Metaculus ... Read more

A NASA NIAC phase 1 grant has been given to Geoffrey Landis to develop innovative concepts for a sample return from the surface of Venus. The project description is vague. At 450C and 92 atmosphere pressure, the surface of Venus is the most hostile environment to explore in the solar system. This project will pioneer ... Read more

One crucial area to enable trips to Mars is the long-duration storage of cryogenic propellants in various space environments. Relevant propellants include liquid Hydrogen (LH2) for high specific impulse Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) which can be deployed in strategic locations in advance of a mission. Such LH2 storage tanks could be used to refill a ... Read more

Here is a summary from a korean who attended the Seokbae Lee superconductor talk. I attended the vision declaration ceremony of the Quantum Industry Convergence Leading Group held today at the main building of Yonsei University Daewoo Hall and summarized the contents. Reason for holding the vision declaration ceremony - LK99 has become such ... Read more

Seokbae Lee, CEO of Quantum Energy Research Institute, who claims to have created the room temperature and pressure superconductor LK-99', said, The material developed is a superconductor." Representative Lee said this while attending the Quantum Industry Convergence Leaders (QILI) vision declaration ceremony held at Yonsei University in Seoul on the 9th. This is the first ... Read more

There is a Korean news video of the recent LK99 talk by Sukbae Lee. There seems be video of more the LK99 experiments. Automated Translation of the Korean Transcript: There are errors in the Korean language transcript and more errors in the automated translation. 0:01 Senate superconductor LK 99 0:04 Quantum energy claimed to have ... Read more

Sukbae Lee is one of the original lead researchers of the LK99 room temperature and room pressure superconductor. There is now a video of his complete talk. He is speaking his native korean. At the bottom of this article, I took the korean language transcript and autotranslated it all to english. There are likely many ... Read more

There is a proposal to use the SpaceX lunar starship as a rapidly deployable moonbase. It could be completed 180 days after the SpaceX lunar Starship lands on the moon. The payload area of the Starship is about 1000 cubic meters. This proposal would tip over the lunar Starship and cut it open to use ... Read more

Dark Energy is inferred based upon distance and other measurements which could have 10% errors. Measurements of the distance to extragalactic sources allow us to infer the major energy constituents of our Universe. Two decades ago such measurements revealed that most of the energy in the Universe is in `dark energy' - a discovery that ... Read more

Sukbae Lee had a presentation yesterday of the progress made by the original LK99 team towards room temperature and room pressure team superconductors. As mentioned yesterday, they have a video detecting zero (superconducting low levels) of electrical resistance. Sukbae also said: There are still instabilities and other issues to be worked through. This means it ... Read more

Commercial heat pump makers have developed next generation cold climate heat pumps. Next-generation cold-climate heat pumps-a key clean energy technology that can potentially save households $500 a year or more on their utility bills while also slashing harmful carbon emissions. The DOE Challenge specifies that prototypes deliver 100% heating capacity without the use of auxiliary ... Read more

Microsoft Quantum team used AI to identify around 500,000 stable materials in the space of a few days. New battery material came out of a collaboration using Microsoft's Azure Quantum Elements to winnow 32 million potential inorganic materials to 18 promising candidates that could be used in battery development in just 80 hours. This work ... Read more

QuEra Computing, the quantum computing trailblazer, today announced a bold strategic roadmap for a series of error-corrected quantum computers, starting in 2024 and culminating in a system with 100 logical error-corrected qubits. This announcement marks the ushering in of a new era in quantum computing and caps off a banner year for QuEra, which included ... Read more

There are more reports of greatly improved rides from the Tesla FSD 12.X. There are reports that Tesla will start a public rollout beyond employees by the end of January, 2024. Tesla FSD is rolling out in China now. Tesla FSD was almost non-existent in China up until 2024. A highly respected (and critical) OG ... Read more

Here are the highlights of Sukbae Lee's (L in LK99, room temperature superconductor) private superconductor update. The class of room temperature and room pressure superconductors is real. He and other researchers have formed a corporation and the success of the company and its patents is the priority. IBM is the first company to start discussions. ... Read more

Elon will give a Tesla company talk after the 10K. The talk will probably be the first week of February. The most impactful things for the future of will be the AI (Dojo, FSD, Robotaxi and Teslabot ramps). However, there is too much uncertainty for this to get an accurate prediction. Also, forecasting these items ... Read more

Elon Musk will provide a 2024 Starship Update on January 11. He will conduct a SpaceX company talk including a Starship update next Thursday. There could be Starship IFT-2's post-flight analysis, plans for IFT-3 and beyond, and updates on Starship HLS milestones. There will also probably be Starlink targets. Source pic.twitter.com/8WvUJdW8lp - Toby Li (@tobyliiiiiiiiii) ... Read more

Three days ago an Alaska Airlines operated Boeing 737 Max 9 lost a door plug as seen in the photo. A three foot by six foot opening was left where the door plug was. The flight was three miles (14850 feet) off the ground so the decompression and other issues were not catastrophic. The pressure ... Read more

Interview of a Chinese researcher behind the detection of a weak signal indicating a Meissner effect in near-room-temperature superconductors described the differences in their work. UPDATE from the Original Korean Team: New Article with highlights of what was said by Sukbae Lee on Jan 9, 2024. The China researcher was interviewed by two people involved ... Read more

There will only be invited reporters at today's LK99 related superconductor presentation by Sukbae Lee. UPDATE: Article with highlights of what was said by Sukbae Lee. Prof. Lee Seokbae is going to introduce the research he has conducted and their future on Jan 9th. It will be the first time we can see his formal ... Read more

Tesla EV car sales surpassed the car sales of the entire Volkswagen Group in the USA in 2023. This was for all Volkswagens ICE and EV cars combined. The Tesla Model Y was also the best selling car in the world of any type in 2023.

The worldwide prevalence of childhood obesity has risen dramatically over the last 30 years. In the United States, approximately 20% of school-age children are considered obese, resulting in a significant public health concern. The etiology of childhood obesity is complex, and both genetic and environmental factors contribute to the development of the disease. Recently, early-life ... Read more

The Astrobotic Peregrine spacecraft has experienced an anomaly" that has stopped it from pointing its solar panels stably at the Sun. The solar panels must charge the batteries for the remainder of the mission to the moon to succeed. Astrobotic engineers are working on the issue and would provide updates when it had more information. ... Read more

Dublin, Ireland, January 8th, 2024, Cyberwire The web extension, patented in the U.S. and U.K., is now available for pre-order in a limited, pre-sale event. Lack of online data security globally In today's almost entirely digitised, cyber world, it's imperative that private data and passwords remain secure and protected at all times.According to Business Insider(2022), ... Read more

There was what appeared to be a good early phase launch of the ULA Vulcan Centaur. The solid rocket boosters separated. The Vulcan BE4 booster separated. The rocket is now in the Centaur phase. The payload fairing separated. There were two solid rocket boosters but the Vulcan is designed for up to six solid rocket ... Read more

United Launch Alliance is launching their first Vulcan Centaur rocket. It will carry the Astrobotics Peregrine lunar lander. UPDATE - Launch seems good. Nextbigfuture has another article covering the launch. Vulcan's first stage is powered by BE-4 engines from Blue Origin, which also will be used on Blue Origins New Glenn Rocket. The engines run ... Read more

There were announcements every week in 2023 on Large Language Models. It appears that there will be similar pace of announcements with humanoid robots in 2024. The leaders are Teslabot, Sanctuary AI and Figure. However, there are dozens of other companies. Nextbigfuture has written just days ago that Elon Musk will likely speed up the ... Read more

The CEO of Figure AI calls the all neural net learning of a coffee making task by their humanoid robot a ChatGPT moment. They are working with Fortune 50 companies. we just had an AI breakthrough in our lab robotics is about to have its ChatGPT moment and that moment is happening tomorrow - Brett ... Read more

NASA NIAC is funding Coflow Jet to analyze a novel global mobility Mars exploration platform, Mars Aerial and Ground Intelligent Explorer (MAGGIE). MAGGIE is a compact fixed wing aircraft with ultra-high productivity efficiency powered by solar energy to fly in the Martian atmosphere with vertical take-off/landing (VTOL) capability, which is enabled by advanced deflected slipstream ... Read more

NASA NIAC willl investigate the details of building a high-resolution, long-baseline, optical imaging interferometer on the lunar surface in conjunction with the Artemis Program. A lunar infrastructure can happen over the next few years through the NASAArtemis Program and the SpaceX Lunar Starsihp. The study of a lunar surface-based interferometer will be a huge step ... Read more

A new approach would use a magnetohydrodynamic electrolytic cell to extract and separate oxygen and hydrogen gas without moving parts in microgravity. This removes the need for a forced water recirculation loop and associated ancillary equipment such as pumps or centrifuges. Preliminary estimations indicate that the integration of functionalities leads to up to 50% mass ... Read more

AI driven Large Behaviorial Models (LBM) is to robotics like large language models (aka ChatGPT like systems) are to text, picture, video and voice AI. The systems are scaling up to 1000 narrow tasks in 2024 from just over a hundred tasks. The key is to get autonomous, reliable and adaptable systems. The systems in ... Read more

University of Stanford researchers Zipeng Fu and his open source Mobile ALOHA's hardware is very capable. Mobile ALOHA is teleoperated for now. It is low-cost open-source hardware and teleoperation system. They mount ALOHA to a mobile base designed for warehouses: Tracer AGV It can carry 100kg, move up to 1.6m/s, while costing only $7000. They ... Read more

The Figure 01 humanoid robot is controlled completely by neural nets and learned to make coffee using a coffee machine in ten hours. The Figure 01 learned dynamic walking over the course of a year. Figure is a California based company building general-purpose humanoids. In May, 2023, they closed $70 million in Series A funding. ... Read more

Prof. Lee Seokbae, the L in LK99, is going to introduce the room temperature superconducting research he has conducted and their future on Jan 9th. It will be the first time we can see his formal statement. Seokbae Lee had his team are scheduled to show a video of Meissner levitation with flux pinning in ... Read more

A trope in science fiction is for advanced space missions to use suspended animation for long space missions. In fiction, they usually assume that suspended animation stops aging. This will be full on cryonics. In reality, we can safely induce a hibernation like state where metabolic processes are slowed. Minimal nutrients and water would be ... Read more

Tiny gram-scale interstellar probes pushed by laser light are likely to be the only technology capable of reaching another star this century and a NASA NIAC phase 1 study wants to work out the additional issues to coordinate several thousands one gram solar sails into a coordinated mission that can communicate back to Earth from ... Read more

There was a public rush to dismiss the research papers and patent from a team of Korean researchers on a copper substituted lead apatite material called LK-99. This material was named after two of the researchers from something they initially discovered in 1999. There was article from the MIT Technology Review listing the LK99 event ... Read more

A 2024 phase 1 NASA Advanced Innovations concept study will look at thin film isoptope nuclear rockets. This will enable faster probes with years of thrust capability. The years of thrust using nuclear isotopes will provide energy for course changes beyond Saturn and even in interstellar space far from the solar energy of the sun. ... Read more

Metaculus is an American reputation-based, massive online prediction solicitation and aggregation engine. One of the focuses of Metaculus is predicting the timing, nature and impact of scientific and technological advances and breakthrough. In 2022, I ranked 41st out of 4184 Metaculus forecasters for Baseline accuracy. In 2023, I am ranking 25th out of a likely ... Read more

LK99 is the material that South Korean researchers claimed in early 2023 was a room temperature superconductor. The South Korean Researcher will be reporting new work in two months (March 4, 2024) at the APS conference. The patents and the original papers described superconducting low level electrical resistance for thin film versions of LK99. There ... Read more

Hermeus has completed testing of its first fully-integrated vehicle, Quarterhorse Mk 0. This non-flying prototype acted as a dynamic iron bird' for the company by validating all major aircraft subsystems in a real-world environment. Hermeus' first flight vehicle, Quarterhorse Mk 1, is actively being built and scheduled to fly in 2024. Mk 0 is the ... Read more

With copper-substituted lead apatite below room temperature, Chinese researchers observe diamagnetic dc magnetization under magnetic field of 25 Oe with remarkable bifurcation between zero-field-cooling and field-cooling measurements, and under 200 Oe it changes to be paramagnetism. A glassy memory effect is found during cooling. Typical hysteresis loops for superconductors are detected below 250 K, along ... Read more

Lawrence Berkeley National Lab researchers use computational methods to describe an approach for optimizing the LK99 material as a superconductor. Some will say, hey why is Nextbigfuture still covering LK99. Didn't some angry scientists say that LK99 was not a superconductor? I have been covering science for over 20 years and there are a lot ... Read more

The most recent discovery, the Cu-doped lead apatite LK-99", is a proposed room-temperature superconductor operating under ambient pressure. However, this discovery has brought a slew of conflicting results from different scientific groups. While some observed the absence of electrical resistance, others could not confirm any signs of superconductivity in LK-99. The Journal of Physical Chemistry ... Read more

Brian Wang and Randy Kirk discussed the expected biggest science and technology stories of 2024. The potentially biggest development in 2024 could be antiaging science reaching a milestone of doubling the remaining lifespan of a mouse. The Longevity Escape velocity program has take four promising anti-aging treatments and applied them in various combinations to a ... Read more

The big winners of the last 200 years of the Industrial and Information revolution were ones who created previously unimagined scale to win. We went from many monks and scribes hand writing manuscripts to the printing press and eventually to the reel to reel newspaper presses. The circulation of daily weekday newspapers in the United ... Read more

On a X-Space discussion Elon Musk had with Peter Diamandis, Elon revealed that AI compute is increasing by 10X every six months and that there will be gigawatt power for clusters in 2025. The planned Kuwait cluster will use 700,000 Nvidia B-100. Each Nvidia B-100 will be about 60-100 times the power of an A-100. ... Read more

The NVIDIA H100 GPU has 30 teraflops of peak standard IEEE FP64 performance, 60 teraflops of peak FP64 tensor core performance, and 60 teraflops of peak FP32 performance. It also has a second-generation secure multi-instance GPU technology that makes it possible to partition the chip into seven smaller, fully isolated instances to handle multiple workloads ... Read more

Peter Diamandis told Elon Musk that healthy, longevity will be possible very soon. Elon Musk did agree that extreme longevity should be a very solvable engineering problem. Elon Musk again said that overpopulation is a big lie. The world is mostly empty. Fly a plane from New York to Los Angeles and try to drop ... Read more