by Words by Josh Halliday, graphic by Anna Leach and on (#735AF)
Newton Aycliffe was meant to be a model town for a fairer postwar Britain. But unaffordable rents on a high street amounting to 0.12% of its property tycoon owner's holdings have made it a symbol of decline - and a warning for Labour
The package being offered is not insignificant but the hospitality sector is still in troubleWill the chancellor's inevitable U-turn on business rates for pubs be enough to quieten the developing riot behind the taps? Possibly, a bit. After two months of damaging headlines, Rachel Reeves has granted pubs a 15% discount on bills, worth 1,650 on average in the next tax year, then a two-year freeze in real terms, with the promise of a change in methodology in time for the next revaluation in 2029. Live music venues get the same deal. The package is not insignificant, especially as it was the year-three escalation in bills that was causing the most angst.Yet it would be a mistake to think the government's troubles on business rates end there. First, and most significantly, the rest of the hospitality industry got nothing extra in Tuesday's announcement beyond a similar pledge to rethink valuation methods for hotels in future. Continue reading...
Wide-ranging deal will cut tariffs to zero over seven years as Modi hails largest free trade agreement' in India's historyThe European carmakers' association has welcomed the EU's trade deal with India, saying it sent a strong statement of intent by both parties to furthering more open and mutually beneficial trade relations."It will greatly help European automobile exports enter a market of 4 million passenger cars that, until now, has been protected by prohibitively high import tariffs of up to 110%," the European Automobile Manufacturers Association, or ACEA, added. Continue reading...
Does Britain have any leverage over human rights or security concerns or is it a decaying nation that cannot risk trade relations?This week, Keir Starmer will reportedly visit China. This will be the first trip of this kind by a British prime minister since Theresa May's three-day visit to Beijing in 2018. Since then, relations between London and Beijing have become increasingly fraught, caught between growing security concerns and deep economic interdependence. Allegations of espionage and influence operations have sharpened political and public suspicion in the UK, even as deep trade links and supply chains on which the country depends make disengagement unrealistic. As fierce debate about the recent approval for the new Chinese embassy has shown, there are strong opinions about how to best manage relations with Beijing - as well as what, precisely, constitutes a threat and what is an opportunity. The result is an uneasy balancing act in which caution and cooperation coexist, often uncomfortably.These security concerns are grounded in recent experience. In December, the Foreign Office disclosed it had been the target of a sustained cyber-attack two months earlier that was suspected to be the work of a Chinese group known as Storm 1849. This followed investigations into alleged espionage involving parliamentary researchers and repeated warnings from security agencies about technology transfer and data exposure in sensitive industries.Peter Frankopan is professor of global history at the University of Oxford. His most recent book is The Earth Transformed: an Untold History. Continue reading...
US president says tariffs on automobiles, lumber and pharmaceuticals will rise to 25%, accusing Seoul of not living up to a trade deal struck last yearDonald Trump has said he is raising tariffs on South Korean goods including automobiles, lumber and pharmaceuticals, accusing the country of not living up to a trade deal struck last year and briefly sending shares in Korean carmakers tumbling.In a post on social media, the US president said the tariffs paid on South Korean exports into America would rise from 15% to 25% because the Korean Legislature hasn't enacted our Historic Trade Agreement, which is their prerogative". Continue reading...
by Patrick Butler Social policy editor on (#7345N)
Joseph Rowntree Foundation finds problem is deeper and more damaging than at any point in the last 30 years'The UK's poorest families are getting poorer, with record numbers of people classed as in very deep poverty" - meaning their annual household incomes fail to cover the cost of food, energy bills and clothing, according to analysis.Although overall relative poverty levels have flatlined in recent years at about 21% of the population, life for those below the breadline has got materially worse as they try to subsist on incomes many thousands of pounds beneath the poverty threshold. Continue reading...
Respondents to King's Trust survey cited AI and a lack of work experience as reasons they might fail in lifeMore than seven in 10 teens and young adults in the UK say they wish they were not starting their careers in the current economic climate, according to new research from the King's Trust.The study also found that more than a quarter of people aged 16 to 25 feel they are going to fail in life, highlighting growing anxiety among those entering the labour market. Continue reading...
Latest BRC figures show year-on-year rate of increase was 3.9% in January, up from 3.3% the month beforeRetailers have blamed rising energy bills and the chancellor Rachel Reeves's hike in employers' national insurance contributions for a jump in food prices, as suppliers and supermarkets struggle to absorb higher costs.The British Retail Consortium (BRC), the trade body for retailers, said prices across all goods in shops rose by 1.5% in January compared with the same month last year, up from a 0.7% rise in December and higher than the 0.7% increase economists had been expecting. It is also above the three-month average of 0.9%. Continue reading...
Tech could lose its social acceptance unless it makes people's lives better - and trade unions want an urgent conversationWho wouldn't want a robot to watch over your kids?" Elon Musk asked Davos delegates last week, as he looked forward with enthusiasm to a world with more robots than people".Not me, thanks: children need the human connection - the love - that gives life meaning. Continue reading...
Amid the tumult of the WEF in Davos this week, some investors are leading the way by ditching US government bondsThere is a way to file for divorce from Donald Trump and Europe needs to grab the opportunity.To the public it will look as if nothing has changed. But behind the scenes the EU and the UK could close the joint bank account and cut up the credit cards, or at least set in motion a form of financial separation that limits the power of a controlling former partner. Continue reading...
Conservative majority appears eager to hand president greater power - with one exception: the US central bankDonald Trump has tried his usual tactics when it comes to getting the US Federal Reserve to lower interest rates: bully when persuasion doesn't work, and then fire when bullying doesn't work.In an unprecedented assault on the central bank, the president has called the Fed chair, Jerome Powell, stupid" and threatened to fire him for not cutting interest rates as quickly as Trump would like. Most recently, the justice department instigated a criminal investigation against Powell for testimony he gave about renovations at the Fed's headquarters. Even so, the Fed has not budged. Continue reading...
Shift in relations and unpredictability of Donald Trump make it risky to store so much gold in the US', say expertsGermany is facing calls to withdraw its billions of euros' worth of gold from US vaults, spurred on by the shift in transatlantic relations and the unpredictability of Donald Trump.Germany holds the world's second biggest national gold reserves after the US, of which approximately 164bn (142bn) worth - 1,236 tonnes - is stored in New York. Continue reading...
by Michael Sainato and Rachel Leingang in Minneapolis on (#731WW)
Organizers demand ICE leave state and agency be investigated for constitutional violationsTens of thousands of Minnesotans marched in Minneapolis and otherwise participated in an economic blackout on Friday to protest against the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) surge in the state.About 100 clergy members were arrested by police during the action, video footage showed. Continue reading...
Megan Greene says apparent end to the decline in wage growth could hinder fight against inflationThe Bank of England may not be able to lower interest rates as much as expected this year, due to strong UK pay growth and expected rate cuts in the US, one of its top policymakers has said.Megan Greene, a member of the Bank's monetary policy committee (MPC), which sets interest rates in the UK, said she was concerned that wages appeared to be growing strongly again this year and this could stop inflation from easing. Continue reading...
by Graeme Wearden and Heather Stewart in Davos on (#731WV)
Kristalina Georgieva says research suggests 60% of jobs in advanced economies will be affected, with many entry-level roles wiped outArtificial intelligence will be a tsunami hitting the labour market", with young people worst affected, the head of the International Monetary Fund warned the World Economic Forum on Friday.Kristalina Georgieva told delegates in Davos that the IMF's own research suggested there would be a big transformation of demand for skills, as the technology becomes increasingly widespread. Continue reading...
In today's newsletter: As global tensions rise, this year's Davos gathering reveals a world struggling to adapt to shifting power dynamics and the erosion of old certaintiesGood morning. The annual gathering of political and business leaders in Davos opened against a backdrop of war, trade threats and a rapidly fraying global order - with the World Economic Forum once again struggling to reconcile its talk of cooperation with the realities of great-power confrontation.Above all, one figure has dominated the week more than any theme or panel discussion - Donald Trump. He appears to have been determined to use the Alpine summit as a stage for his own vision of how the world should work.Davos | Volodymyr Zelenskyy has taken aim at Europe in a fiery speech at Davos, accusing leaders of being in Greenland mode" as they waited for leadership from Donald Trump on Ukraine and other geopolitical crises rather than taking action themselves. The day ended with news of trilateral talks to start on Friday in Abu Dhabi between the US, Russia and Ukraine.UK news | The UK government borrowed less than expected in December, official figures show, after record-breaking receipts, giving a boost to the chancellor.Daily Mail | Elizabeth Hurley has accused the publisher of the Daily Mail of bugging her windowsill as well as using information obtained from tapping her landline as she gave emotional evidence at the high court.Climate crisis | Human-caused global heating made the intense heatwave that affected much of Australia in early January five times more likely, new analysis suggests.Immigration | Prosecutors were stunned to learn that federal immigration authorities allowed a suspect in a $100m jewellery heist, believed to be the largest in US history, to self-deport to South America. Continue reading...
by Andrew Witherspoon, Will Craft and Aliya Uteuova on (#730X9)
Tracking data from a chaotic year, from ICE detention and job growth to inflation and the president's popularityThe Trump administration has had an unprecedented first year. The Guardian has been hard at work tracking the social and political ramifications of Donald Trump's second term through words and pictures. But sometimes the story is best told through charts and graphs. Here are some of the vital data points that the Guardian has been tracking on immigration, the economy and public opinion.*** Continue reading...
As Mark Carney, Emmanuel Macron and Ursula von der Leyen decide to live in truth', what will it take for Starmer to call out Trump?Donald Trump has told the Davos economic forum without us, most countries would not even work", but for the first time in decades, many western leaders have come to the opposite conclusion: they will function better without the US.Individually and collectively, they have decided to live in truth" - the phrase used by the Czech dissident Vaclav Havel and referenced by the Canadian prime minister, Mark Carney, in his widely praised speech at Davos on Tuesday. They will no longer pretend the US is a reliable ally, or even that the old western alliance exists. Continue reading...
The global economic system doesn't even benefit its US and European creators any more - let alone indebted nations or emerging giantsDonald Trump represents everything that the Davos crowd hates - and it is unlikely they are any more well-disposed towards him after being forced to listen to more than an hour of the president's rambling speech today. He is a protectionist, not a free trader. He thinks the climate crisis is a hoax and is suspicious of multilateral organisations. He prefers power plays to dialogue and he doesn't have any time for the woke" capitalism that Davos has been keen to promote, with its focus on gender equality and ethical investment. The shindig's organisers, the World Economic Forum (WEF), had to agree to sideline those issues in order to secure Trump's appearance.For decades, anti-globalisation protesters have sought to shut down the WEF. Thanks to Trump's threat to take over Greenland, their prayers may soon be answered. In today's world, Davos is an irrelevance and it seems fitting that Trump should be on hand this week to deliver the coup de grace to the liberal international rules-based order that the WEF prides itself on upholding. Continue reading...
Bigger than forecast rise probably temporary but analysts rule out Bank of England interest rate cut in FebruaryInflation in the UK rose for the first time in five months to 3.4% in December, pushed up by higher air fares and tobacco prices.The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the annual inflation rate increased from 3.2% in November after falling in October and flatlining in the previous three months. The figure overshot City economists's forecasts of a modest rise to 3.3%. Continue reading...
by Lauren Almeida, Heather Stewart and Graeme Wearden on (#72Z6J)
Sell-off hits US stocks in first trading day since president threatened tariffs against eight countriesStock markets fell on both sides of the Atlantic on Tuesday, with Wall Street suffering its worst day since October, as investor concerns persisted over the fallout from Donald Trump's push for US control of Greenland.The sell-off hit US stocks on the first day of trading in New York since Trump threatened new tariffs on eight European countries, after the market was closed for a public holiday on Monday. The S&P 500 closed down 2.1% while the Dow Jones finished down 1.8%. Continue reading...
by Heather Stewart and John Collingridge on (#72ZFA)
Leaders of EU, France and Canada stake out positions on Greenland ahead of US president's speech to World Economic ForumThere's no diplomacy with Donald Trump: he's a T rex. You mate with him or he devours you." Debate at the World Economic Forum annual meetings high in the Swiss Alps is usually scrupulously polite, but as this year's gathering got under way in Davos on Tuesday, California's Democratic governor, Gavin Newsom, had this blunt advice for handling the week's star speaker.The US president was yet to arrive but throughout the blond wood congress centre the hottest topic among the global elite of business and politics - on and off conference stages - was Trump's intemperate attack on European allies, threatening punitive tariffs if they fail to let him annex Greenland. Continue reading...
As climate and geopolitics shocks bite, countries are rebuilding food buffers. The UK clings to neoliberal ideas while households pay the priceFood policy across much of the world is changing. But not in Britain. That may be a costly mistake as the prices of essentials rise because of the climate emergency, geopolitical tensions and the fragility of just-in-time supply chains. Many capitals are now reviving their strategic food reserves. European nations such as Sweden, Finland, Norway and Germany are rebuilding stocks dismantled after the cold war. Climate shocks have led to Egypt and Bangladesh boosting similar programmes. Countries such as Brazil and Indonesia - sensitive to the food needs of their vast populations - are also expanding their reserves.The UK, by contrast, has no substantial public food reserves. Its strategy rests almost entirely on global markets and private intentions - an approach shaped by decades of liberalised trade. Even in the event of war, the official advice focuses on households stockpiling essentials. In Britain's view, food security isabout prices, not scarcity of supply.Do you have an opinion on the issues raised in this article? If you would like to submit a response of up to 300 words by email to be considered for publication in our letters section, please click here. Continue reading...
Unions, faith groups and local leaders urge residents not to work, shop or go to school after killing of Renee GoodLabor unions, community leaders and faith groups are calling for an economic blackout in Minnesota on Friday in protest against the surge of federal immigration agents in the state and to mourn Renee Good.Organizers are urging Minnesotans not to work, shop or go to school. The Trump administration has dispatched about 3,000 federal agents to the state, in what it claims amounts to its largest enforcement operation thus far, amid a broader crackdown on immigration. Continue reading...
Traders have learned to live with the US president's rhetoric, but the EU's measures could go beyond tariffs and into capital marketsThat's how the chancellor's luck runs these days. You arrange to open the day's trading on the stock exchange to hail a new golden age" for the City and bask in the sight of the FTSE 100 index above 10,000, and what happens? You have to skip off to the prime minister's statement on Greenland.In the event, Rachel Reeves needn't have worried about the poor optics of overseeing a terrible day for share prices. Donald Trump's weekend threat of tariffs on eight European countries, including the UK, did not cause an explosion in the London stock market. The Footsie closed down 0.4%, which doesn't register on the doomsday radar, although European stocks did worse. There was even a 7.7bn bid for the insurer Beazley at a fat premium. Continue reading...
Governments opting for oligarchy while brutally repressing protests over austerity and lack of jobs, charity report saysThe world saw a record number of billionaires created last year, with a collective wealth of $18.3tn (13.7tn), while global efforts stalled in the fight against poverty and hunger.Oxfam's annual survey of global inequality has revealed that the number of billionaires surpassed 3,000 for the first time during 2025. Since 2020, their collective wealth grew by 81%, or $8.2tn, which the charity claims would be enough to eradicate global poverty 26 times over. Continue reading...
The chancellor has been cosseting City lenders to fuel economic growth but studies show UK plc would be better served by trying to keep them in checkBack-slapping bankers will be thick on the ground in the Swiss ski resort of Davos this week as Rachel Reeves flies in to mix with the global elite. But she might be wise to treat the finance bros with a certain froideur.That has not been Labour's approach thus far: Reeves spared the banks from a windfall tax in her 26 November budget, and the UK's regulators have just loosened capital rules for the first time since the financial crisis. Continue reading...
Donald Trump will lead the largest US delegation ever at the World Economic Forum, as others plan a fightback against his policies including his latest tariff threatsA Spirit of Dialogue": the theme for this year's World Economic Forum, the gathering of the global elite in the sparkling Alpine air of Davos, seems a heroic stretch, when star guest Donald Trump has spent the past year smashing up the world order.The president will touch down alongside the snowcapped Swiss mountains with the largest US delegation ever seen at the WEF, including the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, the treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, the commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, and the special envoy Steve Witkoff. Continue reading...
Parts suppliers put production on hold' amid mounting confusion as China restricts purchase of the chips and US puts 25% roundabout tariff on their saleSuppliers of parts for Nvidia's H200 have paused production after Chinese customs officials blocked shipments of the newly approved artificial intelligence processors from entering China, according to a report.Reuters could not immediately verify the report, which appeared in the Financial Times citing two people with knowledge of the matter. Nvidia did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment made outside regular business hours. Continue reading...
Kevin Hassett, a top contender to replace Jerome Powell, suggests he believes Powell told truth about Fed renovationDonald Trump's top economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, said he expected there was nothing to see here" as the US Department of Justice pursues its criminal investigation of Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair.The Trump administration has faced a chorus of criticism in recent days after it emerged that the justice department had served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas, in a significant escalation of its extraordinary attack on the US central bank's independence. Continue reading...