Article 3XWFK Fantasy: 10-team NHL mock draft with analysis

Fantasy: 10-team NHL mock draft with analysis

by
Josh Wegman
from on (#3XWFK)

theScore staff took part in a 10-team, 16-round mock to provide a glimpse at what your drafts could look like, and provide analysis on the picks that were made.

Related: theScore's 2018-19 Fantasy Hockey Draft Kit

This is a standard scoring, head-to-head league made up of the following categories:

SkaterGoalie
GoalsWins
AssistsGoals-against average
Plus/MinusSave percentage
Penalty MinutesShutouts
Power play points
Shots on goal

The roster positions are as follows: C, C, LW, LW, RW, RW, D, D, D, D, G, G, BN, BN, BN, BN, IR, IR

Draft participants: Craig Hagerman, Josh Gold-Smith, Esten McLaren, Austin Owens, John Matisz, Eric Patterson, Josh Wegman, Alan Wong, Patrick Allen, Jason Wilson.

Round 1
PickPlayerOwner
1C Connor McDavid (EDM)Hagerman
2RW Nikita Kucherov (TB)Gold-Smith
3C Steven Stamkos (TB)McLaren
4C Sidney Crosby (PIT)Owens
5C Evgeni Malkin (PIT)Matisz
6C Nathan MacKinnon (COL)Patterson
7LW Brad Marchand (BOS)Wegman
8LW Alex Ovechkin (WSH)Wong
9C Auston Matthews (TOR)Allen
10RW Patrik Laine (WPG)Wilson

The first round came and went with no outlandish surprises. Ovechkin probably slipped further than he should have, providing nice value for Team Wong. I went with Marchand instead, who finished fourth in points per game last year and accumulates more PIMs than most first-round players. Team McLaren is banking on improvement from Stamkos after an 86-point campaign. If he plateaus, this will turn out to be a bad third overall pick.

Round 2
PickPlayerOwner
11C John Tavares (TOR)Wilson
12RW David Pastrnak (BOS)Allen
13RW Patrick Kane (CHI)Wong
14C/RW Tyler Seguin (DAL)Wegman
15LW Taylor Hall (NJ)Patterson
16C/RW Blake Wheeler (WPG)Matisz
17D Erik Karlsson (OTT)Owens
18C Evgeny Kuznetsov (WSH)McLaren
19C/LW Claude Giroux (PHI)Gold-Smith
20C Mark Scheifele (WPG)Hagerman

Team Owens takes Karlsson as the first D off the board. His ceiling will be enhanced further if he's dealt to a cup-contending team. If Giroux has another season like his 102-point campaign from a year ago, Team Gold-Smith has a steal on his hands. Pastrnak is full of upside and plays on the league's best line, but this may have been a slight reach from Team Allen.

Round 3
PickPlayerOwner
21G Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB)Hagerman
22LW Artemi Panarin (CLB)Gold-Smith
23RW Vladimir Tarasenko (STL)McLaren
24G Connor Hellebuyck (WPG)Owens
25LW Jamie Benn (DAL)Matisz
26LW Johnny Gaudreau (CGY)Patterson
27D Victor Hedman (TB)Wegman
28D Brent Burns (SJ)Wong
29RW Phil Kessel (PIT)Allen
30D Dustin Byfuglien (WPG)Wilson

Vasilevskiy is the first goalie off the board. It's not necessary to take a netminder this early in a 10-team league, but Team Hagerman knows he doesn't choose again for another 18 picks. Don't be surprised if Tarasenko has a career year. He was quite unlucky in 2017-18 and his supporting cast has improved drastically.

Round 4
PickPlayerOwner
31LW Filip Forsberg (NSH)Wilson
32C Jack Eichel (BUF)Allen
33C Anze Kopitar (LA)Wong
34C Aleksander Barkov (FLA)Wegman
35RW Mitch Marner (TOR)Patterson
36D P.K. Subban (NSH)Matisz
37D Drew Doughty (LA)Owens
38D John Klingberg (DAL)McLaren
39D Roman Josi (NSH)Gold-Smith
40G Pekka Rinne (NSH)Hagerman

Team Matisz seemed to start a run on defensemen, but all three players that followed were worthy selections. Eichel may have slipped further than anticipated, given his sky-high ceiling. Marner could have a breakout season skating alongside Tavares.

cropped_GettyImages-946379890.jpg?ts=152Round 5
PickPlayerOwner
41C Patrice Bergeron (BOS)Hagerman
42G Sergei Bobrovsky (CLB)Gold-Smith
43C/RW Leon Draisaitl (EDM)McLaren
44RW Mikko Rantanen (COL)Owens
45G Frederik Andersen (TOR)Matisz
46C/RW Joe Pavelski (SJ)Patterson
47LW Evander Kane (SJ)Wegman
48C Mathew Barzal (NYI)Wong
49G Braden Holtby (WSH)Allen
50C Sean Couturier (PHI)Wilson

Bergeron is certainly worthy of going in this slot, but Team Hagerman now has three centers without winger eligibility. In a standard league set up without a UTIL spot, he'll have to bench one of his top three skaters on busy game nights. I took a slight risk taking the oft-injured Kane here, but if he can stay healthy, he'll flourish in San Jose.

Round 6
PickPlayerOwner
51G Tuukka Rask (BOS)Wilson
52D Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI)Allen
53G Jonathan Quick (LA)Wong
54G John Gibson (ANA)Wegman
55RW Brock Boeser (VAN)Patterson
56RW Jakub Voracek (PHI)Matisz
57C Nicklas Backstrom (WSH)Owens
58RW Cam Atkinson (CLB)McLaren
59C/LW Sebastian Aho (CAR)Gold-Smith
60D John Carlson (WSH)Hagerman

Team Hagerman redeems himself by stealing Carlson at the end of Round 6. The Caps blue-liner led all NHL defenseman in points last year and will be among the league leaders again after re-upping in Washington. Team Allen also gets good value on a D-man with Gostisbehere, who racked up 65 points last season. Team Owens reached on Backstrom, considering center is by far the deepest position in fantasy, and his upside is capped playing away from Ovechkin.

Round 7
PickPlayerOwner
61D Alex Pietrangelo (STL)Hagerman
62D Seth Jones (CLB)Gold-Smith
63G Matt Murray (PIT)McLaren
64RW Alexander Radulov (DAL)Owens
65C/LW Jonathan Marchessault (VGK)Matisz
66G Carey Price (MTL)Patterson
67D Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI)Wegman
68C/LW William Karlsson (VGK)Wong
69C/RW William Nylander (TOR)Allen
70G Martin Jones (SJ)Wilson

Team Gold-Smith gets excellent value with Seth Jones this late. Much has been made about William Karlsson's high shooting percentage contributing to his 43-goal season, but in Round 7 it's a calculated risk by Team Wong. In hindsight, I definitely could've waited on Ekman-Larsson, a perennial green jacket candidate (worst plus-minus).

Round 8
PickPlayerOwner
71LW/RW Nikolaj Ehlers (WPG)Wilson
72LW/RW Rickard Rakell (ANA)Allen
73C Brayden Point (TB)Wong
74D Dougie Hamilton (CAR)Wegman
75D Torey Krug (BOS)Patterson
76C Vincent Trocheck (FLA)Matisz
77C Sean Monahan (CGY)Owens
78LW Jonathan Huberdeau (FLA)McLaren
79LW/RW Clayton Keller (ARI)Gold-Smith
80D Kris Letang (PIT)Hagerman

Trocheck finished sixth in the NHL in shots last year, will play on one of the league's better second lines, and won't face the toughest matchups with Barkov ahead of him on the depth chart. This is an astute pick by Team Matisz at this point in the draft. Rakell and Ehlers could also outproduce their draft slots.

cropped_GettyImages-902332098.jpg?ts=151Round 9
PickPlayerOwner
81RW Mark Stone (OTT)Hagerman
82LW James van Riemsdyk (PHI)Gold-Smith
83G Devan Dubnyk (MIN)McLaren
84RW Viiktor Arvidsson (NSH)Owens
85LW Jeff Skinner (BUF)Matisz
86C Ryan Getzlaf (ANA)Patterson
87G Marc-Andre Fleury (VGK)Wegman
88D Tyson Barrie (COL)Wong
89D Rasmus Dahlin (BUF)Allen
90LW/RW Ilya Kovalchuk (LA)Wilson

Dahlin is the first rookie off the board. He should have an outstanding career, but only two 18-year-old defensemen have ever cracked the 40-point plateau: Bobby Orr and Phil Housley. Even if Dahlin miraculously joins them, there are plenty of 50-point blue-liners still available, making this a massive reach in a non-keeper league. Team Wilson also took a risk with Kovalchuk, but as long as he sticks alongside Kopitar, 30 goals are in the cards.

Round 10
PickPlayerOwner
91RW Wayne Simmonds (PHI)Wilson
92G Ben Bishop (DAL)Allen
93G Corey Crawford (CHI)Wong
94D Zach Werenski (CLB)Wegman
95G Cam Talbot (EDM)Patterson
96G Henrik Lundqvist (NYR)Matisz
97C/RW Mikael Granlund (MIN)Owens
98D Mikhail Sergachev (TB)McLaren
99G Antti Raanta (ARI)Gold-Smith
100LW/RW Mike Hoffman (FLA)Hagerman

Team Wong takes a bit of a gamble by selecting Crawford, who still isn't 100 percent healthy after missing most of last season with reported vertigo-like symptoms. Team Owens gets a steal with Granlund this late. He's quietly averaged 68 points per year in the last two seasons. A dual-position, high-volume shooter in Hoffman is a good value pick this late as well.

Round 11
PickPlayerOwner
101D Charlie McAvoy (BOS)Hagerman
102C Ryan O'Reilly (STL)Gold-Smith
103C/LW Logan Couture (SJ)McLaren
104D Ryan Ellis (NSH)Owens
105D Morgan Rielly (TOR)Matisz
106LW Jake Guentzel (PIT)Patterson
107LW Matthew Tkachuk (CGY)Wegman
108LW Jaden Schwartz (STL)Wong
109LW Gabriel Landeskog (COL)Allen
110D Aaron Ekblad (FLA)Wilson

Make it back-to-back rounds Team Owens gets outstanding mid-round value in Ellis, who played at a 60-point pace upon his return from injury. With winger eligibility, Couture is a very shrewd pick this late in the draft. He had a career-high 34 goals last season. Team Hagerman is banking on McAvoy making big strides offensively in his second season.

Round 12
PickPlayerOwner
111D Mark Giordano (CGY)Wilson
112LW Max Pacioretty (MTL)Allen
113D Matt Dumba (MIN)Wong
114C Brayden Schenn (STL)Wegman
115RW Patric Hornqvist (PIT)Patterson
116LW Kyle Connor (WPG)Matisz
117D Jake Gardiner (TOR)Owens
118D Ryan Suter (MIN)McLaren
119C Dylan Larkin (DET)Gold-Smith
120C Nazem Kadri (TOR)Hagerman

Schenn was much more valuable when he had winger eligibility, but there's no reason he can't repeat his 70-point season playing with Tarasenko. Minnesota's top two defensemen go off the board in this round, and in the correct order. Dumba should only continue to grow, while Suter is coming off a serious ankle injury, though he should be good to start the season.

cropped_GettyImages-939158722.jpg?ts=153Round 13
PickPlayerOwner
121LW Anders Lee (NYI)Hagerman
122D Rasmus Ristolainen (BUF)Gold-Smith
123RW Eeli Tolvanen (NSH)McLaren
124G Jake Allen (STL)Owens
125C/RW Yanni Gourde (TB)Matisz
126C Ryan Johansen (NSH)Patterson
127LW/RW Jason Zucker (MIN)Wegman
128LW/RW Evgenii Dadonov (FLA)Wong
129C Nico Hischier (NJ)Allen
130RW T.J. Oshie (WSH)Wilson

Allen is coming off a bad year, but there's virtually no competition in the Blues' crease this season. If St. Louis is going to make some noise, Allen could rack up 35-plus wins. Tolvanen was possibly the best teenager the KHL had ever seen a year ago, but he'll have to work his way into Nashville's top six in order to return value at this draft slot. He's more than capable, though.

Round 14
PickPlayerOwner
131C Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM)Wilson
132D Keith Yandle (FLA)Allen
133C Jeff Carter (LA)Wong
134RW Andrei Svechnikov (CAR)Wegman
135D Ivan Provorov (PHI)Patterson
136D Josh Morrissey (WPG)Matisz
137D Will Butcher (NJ)Owens
138D Colton Parayko (STL)McLaren
139LW/RW Teuvo Teravainen (CAR)Gold-Smith
140RW Josh Bailey (NYI)Hagerman

Team Wilson could have the steal of the draft in Nugent-Hopkins, who flourished on McDavid's line in the second half of the season, and is projected to start there to begin 2018-19. It likely won't take him to long to gain winger eligibility either. Morrissey is a great two-way D, but even this late, Team Matisz easily could've found a blue-liner with more offensive upside than one who doesn't see power-play time.

Round 15
PickPlayerOwner
141LW/RW Alex DeBrincat (CHI)Hagerman
142D Kevin Shattenkirk (NYR)Gold-Smith
143C Matt Duchene (OTT)McLaren
144C/RW J.T. Miller (TB)Owens
145D Nate Schmidt (VGK)Matisz
146D Jake Muzzin (LA)Patterson
147RW Tom Wilson (WSH)Wegman
148C Jonathan Toews (CHI)Wong
149C Casey Mittelstadt (BUF)Allen
150D Shea Weber (MTL)Wilson

If Team Matisz was seeking a Golden Knights blue-liner, either Colin Miller or Shea Theodore would've made for a better choice than Schmidt. I opted to go with Wilson, who will single-handedly win PIMs some weeks and won't bring down my offense a whole lot. Weber likely won't return until at least December, but he's worth an IR stash in the draft's second-last round. Look for Miller to have a career year playing alongside Kucherov and Stamkos.

Round 16
PickPlayerOwner
151G Juuse Saros (NSH)Wilson
152D Mike Green (DET)Allen
153D Duncan Keith (CHI)Wong
154D Ryan Pulock (NYI)Wegman
155D Mattias Ekholm (NSH)Patterson
156C Elias Pettersson (VAN)Matisz
157LW/RW Travis Konecny (PHI)Owens
158C Nolan Patrick (PHI)McLaren
159C/LW Pierre-Luc Dubois (CLB)Gold-Smith
160RW James Neal (CGY)Hagerman

A lot of high-upside picks here, which is the right idea in the draft's final round. Konecny was dynamic in the second half of last year, and Team Owens is hopeful he carries that over into the start of this season. Pettersson is a blue-chip prospect who set numerous Swedish Hockey League records a year ago. Team Hagerman goes the high-floor route, securing a minimum 25-goal scorer in Neal.

(Photos courtesy: Getty Images)

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