Top 5 betting plays for Super Bowl LIII
It's finally here, folks.
After rolling out our favorite player props, random props, MVP bets, and more, it's time to offer up our five strongest plays for Super Bowl LIII between the Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots.
CBS to show replay of Nickell Robey-Coleman's missed pass interference (-130)The missed pass interference call against Robey-Coleman has bled through from the NFC championship and become one of the premier narratives of Super Bowl week. There is more discussion surrounding what is arguably the worst missed call in football history than there is about the two teams playing in the big game. Unfortunately for any New Orleans Saints fans tuning in, there will be ample opportunity for this play to be talked about during the broadcast, leaving them no choice but to relive the nightmare. So, you might as well try to profit from the pain.
Patriots RB James White Under 52.5 receiving yards (-115)White is New England's top pass-catcher out of the backfield. He's prone to putting up gaudy numbers through the air, including a whopping 15 catches in the divisional round. However, this total feels a bit inflated for White, who faces a Rams defense allowing roughly 29 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs this season.
Julian Edelman's longest reception Under 23.5 yards (-110)Offenses this season have made it a priority to pick on Rams cornerback Marcus Peters. Los Angeles is dreadful in a bevy of categories against No. 1 wide receivers, but a healthy Aqib Talib will help the secondary against Tom Brady's surgeon-like precision. Wide receiver Edelman has been the primary benefactor this postseason, bringing down a combined 16 passes for 247 yards over the two contests. He should find it difficult to separate from Talib, though, who gives the Rams' defense a better shot at containing Edelman than Peters would.
The White House will not serve fast food to the Super Bowl winners (-320)We've avoided playing chalky prices all season long and don't want to get accustomed to recommending them. However, there's no way this can happen again.
Aaron Donald Under 4.5 combined tackles and assists (-105)The media has been hyping up Donald throughout the leadup to the Super Bowl. He's undoubtedly one of the biggest X-factors of the game, as Brady hasn't been sacked yet in the postseason. This number still feels a tad high for Donald, who has four or fewer tackles in five of the previous six games.
Rams +3*We added an asterisk for play No. 6, which would be the Rams +3. This number has popped up on occasion, only to fall back down to +2.5 shortly after books hang it. We still don't think L.A. is getting enough credit in the market and would recommend the Rams if +3 becomes available.
Alex Kolodziej is theScore's betting writer. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 11 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.
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