NFL Week 7 trend plays: Ride Saints as road 'dog
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We're back to highlight the best betting trends and angles. Last week, the Patriots once again came through as big favorites, while the Chiefs and Packers busted trends as home chalk.
Here are some of the more notable trends to watch for in Week 7.
(Trends are from Sports Database unless noted otherwise.)
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo BillsLine: Bills -17
Could Sunday be another spot to bet the ... Dolphins? Since 1989, teams favored by at least 17 points are 13-22-1 (37.1%) against the spread. The Bills are 2-3 ATS in that spot (all from 1991-92) and have been favored by double digits just once since 2004. A rare spot for Buffalo could leave value on the road 'dog.
Trend play: Dolphins +17
New Orleans Saints at Chicago BearsLine: Bears -3.5
Don't doubt Sean Payton as an underdog. The Saints coach is 21-9-1 ATS (70%) when getting more than three points with a 10-2-1 record in his last 13. He's also 4-2-1 ATS (66.6%) when riding a four-game winning streak against the spread, as will be the case Sunday.
Trend play: Saints +3.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas CowboysLine: Cowboys -3
Both teams have struggled against the spread this year but the trends love the Eagles here. Favorites like Dallas coming off three straight ATS losses are 14-27-2 ATS (34.1%) since 2015, with a 1-5 record in their last six games. Cowboys coach Jason Garrett is also 7-13-3 ATS (35%) as a short favorite (three points or less), while Philly coach Doug Pederson is 6-4 ATS (60%) as a short 'dog with four wins in his last five.
Trend play: Eagles +3
New England Patriots at New York JetsLine: Patriots -10
Death, taxes, and the Patriots being favored by at least 10 points. Since 2015, New England is 18-5-1 ATS (78.3%) as a double-digit favorite, including a 4-1 ATS record (80%) versus the Jets in those spots. Over the same span, New York is 2-6 ATS (25%) as a double-digit underdog with five losses by at least 20 points.
Trend play: Patriots -10
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.
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