Week 9 player props: Expect Minshew Mania in London
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The player prop market is a hot one for bettors. While standard spread and total bets account for an entire game, individual props focus on specific matchups.
Here are five bets to consider for Week 9:
Gardner Minshew over 247.5 passing yardsRemember when Minshew and the Jaguars were nine-point underdogs to the Texans with a total of 41 back in Week 2? Fast forward to Sunday and Jacksonville's just a one-point 'dog to Houston with a total of 47 in London. Minshew hasn't gotten enough credit for what he's done in his rookie season. He's thrown for nearly 2,000 yards with 13 touchdowns and just two interceptions while working with an inexperienced receiving corps.
Minshew was fine in his first meeting with the Texans. He went 23-for-33 with 213 yards and a touchdown in the narrow loss. Houston's secondary is trending way down, as it's allowed close to 11 yards per reception this season. Minshew, who's engineering the seventh-most explosive pass offense in 2019, should find more success this time around.
Royce Freeman over 2.5 catchesCleveland's defense isn't a great matchup for Broncos quarterback Brandon Allen, who's making his first career start Sunday. But one way Allen can settle into a groove is through the short passing game, particularly with Freeman. The running back has been a go-to option out of the backfield, recording at least four catches in four of Denver's last six games. The Browns are also allowing more than 20% of the passing yards they've surrendered this season to come from opposing rushers, the third-highest mark in the league.
Cameron Brate over 2.5 catchesYou would've thought Brate was a solid buy-low candidate in Week 8 with No. 1 tight end O.J. Howard on the shelf. But after catching just three passes for 32 yards last weekend against the Titans, Brate has now caught three or fewer balls in all nine career games when Howard has been sidelined - so much for a bargain buy. Common logic would point to fading him altogether, but I'm willing to jump back on board the Brate train against a Seahawks defense that's allowing roughly six catches and north of 70 yards per game to opposing tight ends this season.
Tom Brady over 37.5 passing attemptsBrady's been slinging it around lately, attempting at least 38 passes in five straight games before his streak was snapped amid a torrential downpour at home against Cleveland last weekend. New England might find it tough to run on a Ravens defense that's allowed just 3.7 yards per carry over the last three weeks.
Robby Anderson longest reception over 21.5 yardsIf the Jets watched any of the Dolphins' matchup with the Steelers on Monday, their offense should be licking its chops. Three different Pittsburgh receivers had at least one catch of over 20 yards as quarterback Mason Rudolph picked on a Dolphins secondary that's last in the league in explosive pass rate. Miami's defense is also down star cornerback Xavien Howard, which should open up more suitable matchups for Anderson, who's averaging 14.7 yards per reception this season.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.
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