NFL win totals update: 10 teams still in flux entering final two weeks
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With just two weeks left in the NFL season, some win total bettors can already write off their preseason bets as savvy plays or miserable losses. Others are glued to the TV to watch the final two games - including dreaded Week 17 - to determine the fate of their ticket.
Only two teams' win totals could go either way entering the final stretch (Steelers and Cardinals), but 10 teams could at least push in the last two weeks. For those who bet on the other 22 teams, you can enjoy the end of the season stress-free.
To make it easier, we've tracked all 32 preseason win totals so you know which ones to cash, watch, or sweat heading into Week 16, with some notes on a few interesting teams:
Cash itOver| TEAM | WIN TOTAL | RECORD |
|---|---|---|
| Saints | 10.5 | 11-3 |
| Packers | 9 | 11-3 |
| Vikings | 9 | 10-4 |
| Ravens | 8.5 | 12-2 |
| Seahawks | 8.5 | 11-3 |
| Texans | 8.5 | 9-5 |
| 49ers | 8 | 11-3 |
| Bills | 6.5 | 10-4 |
| Buccaneers | 6.5 | 7-7 |
Saints (10.5)
When Drew Brees was sidelined in Week 2, it looked like the Saints' playoff hopes might be shot - let alone reaching 11 wins. But Teddy Bridgewater steered the ship to an undefeated record in his stead, and Brees finished it off for over bettors with his stellar performance on Monday night.
Ravens (8.5)
In hindsight, the Ravens look like the easiest bet on the board, but there were real questions about whether Lamar Jackson could replicate his late-season success from 2018 after coaches had a half-season of film on him. How'd that go?
Buccaneers (6.5)
It's a good thing this cashed last week in Detroit, because the Bucs are falling apart. Tampa Bay lost star receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin in consecutive weeks, and their final two games against Houston and Atlanta aren't gimmes. If you grabbed a number higher than 6.5, good luck.
Under| TEAM | WIN TOTAL | RECORD |
|---|---|---|
| Rams | 10.5 | 8-6 |
| Colts | 9.5 | 6-8 |
| Eagles | 9.5 | 7-7 |
| Chargers | 9.5 | 5-9 |
| Browns | 9 | 6-8 |
| Falcons | 8.5 | 5-9 |
| Jaguars | 8 | 5-9 |
| Panthers | 8 | 5-9 |
| Jets | 7.5 | 5-9 |
| Lions | 6.5 | 3-10-1 |
| Redskins | 6.5 | 3-11 |
| Bengals | 6 | 1-13 |
| Giants | 6 | 3-11 |
Colts (9.5)
This is obviously a tough break for bettors who were expecting Andrew Luck to be leading this team, but Jacoby Brissett still engineered a 5-2 start for Indy. Then came more injuries, tanking the Colts' chances with six losses in their last seven games.
Eagles (9.5)
How's that Dolphins loss feel now? For as bad as the Eagles' season has gone, they could have still reached 10 wins if they end up beating Dallas and New York in their final two games. Sorry, over bettors.
Browns (9)
Ah yes, the Browns, whose nine-win total felt like a lightning rod in the betting community just a few months ago. It became clear pretty quickly that Cleveland wouldn't hit that mark, and it's somewhat of a miracle eight wins are in play given the dysfunction.
Watch itOver| TEAM | WIN TOTAL | RECORD |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 11-3 |
| Chiefs | 10.5 | 10-4 |
| Titans | 8 | 8-6 |
| Raiders | 6 | 6-8 |
Patriots (11)
This feels like a lock, considering the Patriots play the lowly Dolphins in Week 17 in a game that could still have seeding implications. If that game doesn't matter, it's because the Pats took care of Buffalo as big home favorites this week.
Chiefs (10.5)
The Chiefs are giving nearly a touchdown on the road to Chicago, and they'll likely be even bigger favorites next week against the Chargers. A little sweat, but not enough to worry about.
Titans (8)
The Titans feel more like a "sweat it" team, except you're already getting the push at worst if you bought at 8 wins. Still, two games against the Saints and Texans aren't exactly easy opportunities to hit your over bet. Circle Week 17 as the better chance to win.
Raiders (6)
Another "sweat it" candidate, since the Raiders will be sizable road underdogs in each of their final two games against the Chargers and Broncos. But hey, at least you'll get your money back on one of the worst teams in football.
Under| TEAM | WIN TOTAL | RECORD |
|---|---|---|
| Bears | 9 | 7-7 |
| Cowboys | 9 | 7-7 |
| Broncos | 7 | 5-9 |
| Dolphins | 5 | 3-11 |
Bears (9)
So let's get this straight: if the Bears upset Patrick Mahomes in a game the Chiefs need for playoff seeding, and then beat Minnesota on the road in a game the Vikes could need to win the division, then your under bet pushes? I think you'll be safe.
Cowboys (9)
This one looks like a classic push candidate, with the Cowboys needing a pair of wins to claim the division in two games they'll be favored in. This weekend's test in Philly likely decides whether under bettors can breathe easy or sigh begrudgingly.
Broncos (7)
This looked like a clear under a few weeks ago, but Brandon Allen and Drew Lock have combined to make things interesting for the Broncos. The Lions and Raiders are both beatable squads, much to the chagrin of under bettors.
Dolphins (5)
Can you believe this win total is still in doubt? It's still very much in play, too: if the Dolphins beat the hapless Bengals this week, they could face an unmotivated Patriots team in Week 17 for the unlikely push. Under bettors better be rooting for Buffalo this week to give New England a reason to try.
Sweat it| TEAM | WIN TOTAL | RECORD |
|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 9 | 8-6 |
| Cardinals | 5 | 4-9-1 |
Steelers (9)
Another "can you believe it" squad is Pittsburgh, which was down to its third-string quarterback just a few weeks into the season but has mustered eight wins against mostly inept competition. Because of the myriad playoff scenarios still possible for the Steelers - bringing Week 17 motivation into question - these final two weeks against the Jets and Ravens will be impossible not to sweat out.
Cardinals (5)
The Cardinals have certainly been a fun - if not emotionally tumultuous - team to bet through the first 15 weeks. They tied, lost their next three, won their next three, then lost six straight before last week's win over Cleveland. It's only fitting they'd be in the balance with games against the juggernaut Seahawks and Rams. With this team, who knows what you might get.
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.
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