NFL championship weekend player props: Fade Jimmy G vs. Packers

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We're already champing at the bit for all the props that'll be available for Super Bowl LIV, but first, there's one more opportunity to cash in on the player prop market this weekend during the conference championship round.

Here are the best ones for Titans-Chiefs and Packers-49ers:

Jimmy Garoppolo under 248.5 passing yards

This weekend's slate hasn't put much on my personal radar from a side or totals perspective, so I dipped into the player prop market for my best bet. This is it, for a couple of reasons.

For starters, it feels rather high for a Garoppolo prop, doesn't it? He's thrown for more than 248 yards in just five of his last 14 starts. Most of that has to do with his approach - Garoppolo had the fewest throws of 20-plus yards among qualified quarterbacks during the regular season. It's possible he feasts on a Green Bay defense ranked 19th in the league in opponent yards per completion, but that hasn't been the 49ers' method this year and the Packers are far more susceptible to giving up yards on the ground. Had they not trailed for virtually the entire game last weekend, the Seahawks could have picked up chunk after chunk in the running game; they averaged 4.6 yards per pop but found themselves in passing situations far too often.

The 49ers were second in the NFL in run play percentage during the regular season. I think we'll see San Francisco - a touchdown-sized favorite - lean on its running game as it has all season and limit Garoppolo's usage through the air.

Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 touchdown passes

There's nothing sharp about this prop, but I can't pass it up. Mahomes sliced up the Texans to the tune of 321 yards and five touchdowns last weekend, and he'll face a secondary of a similar caliber when the Chiefs clash with Tennessee. So far this postseason, the Titans have looked great against a decrepit Patriots offense and conceded 365 yards to the NFL's most run-heavy team in Baltimore. Tennessee has allowed double-digit touchdown passes in 10 games this season and now faces the best passing attack it's played since ... mid-November, when the Titans allowed 446 yards and three touchdowns to Mahomes.

Davante Adams longest reception under 22.5 yards

Adams went off against the Seahawks last weekend, hauling in eight passes for 160 yards and two touchdowns. It gets a whole lot tougher when he matches up against Richard Sherman. Sherman has been thrown at as the nearest defender just 51 times this season. Over those 51 attempts, the veteran cornerback has allowed only 27 completions for a grand total of 227 yards. Adams should be able to contribute in this one, but I'll be surprised if he gets loose against a secondary that finished the regular season ranked second in explosive pass rate allowed.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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