2021 NFL Draft odds: Trevor Lawrence heavy chalk to go No. 1

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The goal of a way-too-early mock draft is to get readers familiarized with players who should be atop the big boards in 2021. That Trevor Lawrence fella out of Clemson? He might be a name you recognize on every single one of them.

Unlike Joe Burrow's unconventional rise to the No. 1 pick, Lawrence's path has been traditional. He was the hottest commodity coming out of high school and already has two national title appearances under his belt as an underclassman. At 6-foot-6 and 220 pounds, Lawrence also has the tools to become an elite quarterback at the pro level.

Unsurprisingly, he's the heavy favorite to be picked first next spring.

Odds to go No. 1 in 2021 NFL Draft

Player	School	Odds
QB Trevor Lawrence	Clemson	-300
QB Justin Fields	Ohio State	+300
OT Penei Sewell	Oregon	+400
QB D'Eriq King	Miami	+1800
LB Micah Parsons	Penn State	+2500
QB Jamie Newman	Georgia	+3300
DE Gregory Rousseau	Miami	+3300
WR Ja'Marr Chase	LSU	+5000
WR Devonta Smith	Alabama	+5000
WR Jaylen Waddle	Alabama	+5000
RB Travis Etienne	Clemson	+5000
DB Patrick Surtain II	Alabama	+5000
DB Shaun Wade	Ohio State	+5000
RB Chuba Hubbard	Oklahoma State	+6600
OT Sam Cosmi	Texas	+6600
RB Najee Harris	Alabama	+8000
QB Kellen Mond	Texas A&M	+8000

Only displaying odds shorter than 100-1

Of course, taking stabs at the first overall selection roughly a full year out from the draft is more recreational than business. After all, Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa was the consensus favorite to go No. 1 in 2020 prior to last season, yet he wasn't even the first quarterback in his conference to come off the board.

Let's consider who has the potential to usurp Lawrence by the time the 2021 draft rolls around.

BuyPenei Sewell (+400)

How many teams in the league would bypass Lawrence for a tackle if they had the No. 1 pick? Not a whole lot. But had the Clemson quarterback come out in any other class, Sewell would more than likely be the best prospect in this field.

backside fold by LT #58 Penei Sewell, who would like to remind you that there are no white tees allowed in the club pic.twitter.com/Co9EXk8gvC

- Mike Golic Jr (@mikegolicjr) November 21, 2019

From a draft perspective, Sewell could end up being the next Chase Young - a franchise-changing, top-flight player who is best in his class but doesn't provide the positional value of a quarterback. In any case, Oregon's star tackle seems like a lock to go in the top five next year.

Jamie Newman (+3300)

A quarterback beating out Lawrence? It'll be tough, but anything can happen. I'd pass on D'Eriq King at 18-1 and much rather take 33-1 on Newman, who's gearing up for his first season at Georgia after transferring from Wake Forest.

There's a lot to like about Newman's physical traits. He has ideal size for the NFL at 6-foot-4 and 229 pounds, and he's put it to good use at the collegiate level. The QB showcased some underrated mobility in 2019, rushing for 574 yards and six scores on top of 2,868 yards and 26 touchdowns through the air.

Newman may need a significant step forward in 2020 to unseat Lawrence, but he's the top long shot option on the oddsboard right now.

SellD'Eriq King (+1800)

The biggest disadvantage for King isn't his size, given that 5-foot-10 Kyler Murray was taken first overall by a team that had selected a first-round quarterback the year prior. It's simply the competition of the 2021 class that makes me hesitant to invest in the 5-foot-11 signal-caller.

If the draft came down to athletic traits, you could make a case for King. He was responsible for 48 touchdowns in 2018 with Houston and could very well put Miami back on the map this fall. But I still can't see King being taken over both Lawrence and Newman.

Any running back

Teams are beginning to properly value running backs.

Although Saquon Barkley went second overall to the Giants in 2018, we've nearly gone back-to-back drafts without a runner being selected in the first round. Travis Etienne, Chuba Hubbard, and Najee Harris will all find homes early next spring, but I'd be surprised if any of them go in the first half of the first round.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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