NFL most receiving yards odds: Everyone vs. Michael Thomas
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Michael Thomas could have sat out the last three games of the 2019 regular season and still won the receiving yards crown. Want to guess the favorite for 2020? Yeah, it's an easy one.
After reviewing the passing yards oddsboard on Wednesday, we'll do the same at the wideout position today. Does anyone have what it takes to dethrone Thomas?
Odds to lead the NFL in receiving yards| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Michael Thomas | +500 |
| Julio Jones | +800 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | +900 |
| Chris Godwin | +1000 |
| Mike Evans | +1000 |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | +1200 |
| Tyreek Hill | +1200 |
| Davante Adams | +1400 |
| Adam Thielen | +1600 |
| Amari Cooper | +1600 |
| DeVante Parker | +1600 |
| DK Metcalf | +1600 |
| Keenan Allen | +1800 |
| Kenny Golladay | +1800 |
| T.Y. Hilton | +1800 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | +2000 |
| Stefon Diggs | +2000 |
| Cooper Kupp | +2500 |
| George Kittle | +2500 |
| Travis Kelce | +2500 |
| Will Fuller | +2500 |
| Courtland Sutton | +2800 |
| A.J. Green | +3300 |
| Allen Robinson | +3300 |
| Deebo Samuel | +3300 |
| Emmanuel Sanders | +3300 |
| Jarvis Landry | +3300 |
| Sterling Shepard | +3300 |
| Zach Ertz | +3300 |
| D.J. Chark | +4000 |
| D.J. Moore | +4000 |
Only displaying players with odds +4000 or shorter
The favoritesYou don't put up 1,700-plus receiving yards and not become the favorite for the following season. That's just math.
Thomas has absolutely balled out since entering the NFL in 2016, and he's clearly the receiver to beat in 2020 at 5-1. I'm not sure there's anyone who can match the New Orleans Saints star if he stays healthy for 16 games.
However, Julio Jones likely has the best shot. The veteran led the league in yards twice in the last five seasons and finished second behind Thomas during 2019.
The dudsThese are the options I'm passing on at their current prices.
Stefon Diggs (+3300)Diggs ranked No. 5 in yards per catch with the Vikings last season. Bills quarterback Josh Allen is coming off a year in which he posted the highest percentage of uncatchable passes on balls thrown 20-plus yards. This is a match made in hell.
Mike Evans and Chris Godwin (+1000)I don't mind going over the total on Tom Brady's passing yards, but there are too many mouths to feed in the Buccaneers' offense for one of these receivers to lead the NFL in receiving yards.
Odell Beckham Jr. (+1200)Beckham is almost always overvalued in this market. The scheme could hinder him in 2020, too, as run-heavy Kevin Stefanski is now calling the shots for the Browns.
Best betsIf it were up to me, I'd pick Thomas. He's the No. 1 option on a mostly pass-heavy offense that should feast in the NFC South. However, a couple of others are worth a flier.
Cooper Kupp (+2500)In their 2018 run to the Super Bowl, the Rams finished No. 23 in pass play percentage. During last year's 9-7 season that saw them miss the postseason, they ranked No. 8 in the same department. Which version will we get this season?
The Rams want to run the ball, but I'm not sure they'll be able to in 2020. That leads me to believe there's a good price on Kupp, who led the receiving corps with 1,161 yards last season. He's been Jared Goff's favorite target over the last few years and should have more balls thrown his way without the presence of Brandin Cooks, who was traded to the Texans.
D.J. Chark (+4000)I'm not sure how to put this lightly: The Jaguars are going to be awful in 2019. They aren't even favored in one game heading into the season!
That tells me Jacksonville should be trailing on a weekly basis and be forced to throw the football religiously. I like the idea of taking a flier on Chark, who put up more than 1,000 yards last year despite not playing a full season and has a huge target share in a pass-happy offense.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.
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