NFL rookie wide receiver props: Expect big things from CeeDee Lamb
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The intricacies of playing wide receiver often lead to longer adjustment periods for rookies, and the 2020 class could take even longer to make an impact with offseason programs abbreviated, if not canceled altogether.
Now that oddsmakers have set receiving yards lines for a number of this season's freshman wideouts, let's dive in and predict whether players will surpass or fall short of their over/under totals.
CeeDee Lamb, Dallas CowboysTotal: 850 receiving yards
Talent doesn't always equal opportunity. Lamb might be the best wide receiver in the 2020 class, but he's going to start the season behind Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup in the Cowboys' pecking order. Tight end Blake Jarwin will get his, too, and this is a team that loves to run the football, but there are more than enough touches to go around. Randall Cobb, Tavon Austin, and Jason Witten's combined 190 targets and 1,534 receiving yards are now vacant, and Lamb is sure to soak up a large percentage of them.
Pick: Over
Henry Ruggs, Las Vegas RaidersTotal: 800 receiving yards
Tight end Darren Waller led the Raiders in receiving yards last season with 1,145. Tyrell Williams topped all wideouts on the roster with just 651. This team is desperate for a spark outside, and while Ruggs should provide it, his number still feels high. The rookie will be competing with fellow wideouts Williams, Hunter Renfrow, and the newly acquired Nelson Agholor for targets, while the Raiders are also loaded at tight end. Ruggs should make some explosive plays this season, but his volume likely won't allow him to surpass 800 yards. Just two of the last 17 wide receivers drafted in the first round have topped that mark.
Pick: Under
Jalen Reagor, Philadelphia EaglesTotal: 700 receiving yards
Reagor is the most explosive wide receiver on the Eagles' roster - he runs a 4.22 40-yard dash - so you can bet Doug Pederson will find ways to get the ball into his hands. The TCU product produced at a high rate in college, turning 43 receptions into 611 yards last season (14.2 average) despite dealing with atrocious quarterback play. Volume won't be a big issue for Reagor either, with the oft-injured Alshon Jeffrey, DeSean Jackson, and Marquise Goodwin accompanying him on the depth chart.
Pick: Over
Jerry Jeudy, Denver BroncosTotal: 900 receiving yards
The Broncos are building something electric on offense. Jeudy is one of many new toys for quarterback Drew Lock, with the team also bringing in Melvin Gordon, K.J. Hamler, and Albert Okwuegbunam during the offseason. Add those names to a group that already includes Phillip Lindsay, Courtland Sutton, DaeSean Hamilton, and Noah Fant, and there are simply too many mouths to feed - on a team committed to running the football - to feel comfortable about Jeudy reaching this number.
Pick: Under
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota VikingsTotal: 750 receiving yards
Stefon Diggs' departure has left things wide open on the Vikings' depth chart at wide receiver, with Adam Thielen as the only proven commodity. Bisi Johnson and Chad Beebe are in line for increased targets, and free-agent signing Tajae Sharpe will throw his name in the hat, but those guys don't possess the sort of ability that Jefferson does. The rookie out of LSU is a well-rounded, NFL-ready talent who will have ample opportunities to fill the void left by Diggs' 94 targets and 1,130 receiving yards from 2019. Jefferson should see prominent reps as early as Week 1.
Pick: Over
Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.
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