Odds to catch Tom Brady's first TD pass: Godwin, Evans open as co-favorites
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Oddsmakers expect Tom Brady to throw for 29-30 touchdowns with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this upcoming season. The first one's going to be worth a little extra.
Arguably no other player has been featured in 2020 props more than Brady, who's change of scenery from New England to Tampa this offseason prompted the books to whip up a plethora of markets for the GOAT. Not only can you bet on his individual player props, or whether the Buccaneers or Patriots will win more games, you can also wager on who will catch Brady's first touchdown pass.
We'll focus on just that today. Here's how the prices stack up.
Odds to catch Tom Brady's first TD pass in 2020| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chris Godwin | +200 |
| Mike Evans | +200 |
| Rob Gronkowski | +325 |
| Ronald Jones | +700 |
| Cameron Brate | +750 |
| O.J. Howard | +800 |
| Dare Ogbunwale | +1200 |
| Justin Watson | +1600 |
| Scotty Miller | +1800 |
We shouldn't be surprised to see Chris Godwin and Mike Evans as co-favorites. They were the only two teammates inside PFF's top 10 wide receiver grades for 2019.
There really isn't much separating the two. Godwin caught 86 passes on a team-leading 121 targets last season. Meanwhile, Evans saw just three fewer targets, yet recorded only 67 receptions. Both easily crossed the 1,000-yard mark, while Godwin's nine touchdowns barely edged out Evans' eight.
The othersIt's refreshing to see Rob Gronkowski (+325) further down the list. Had he been the favorite, he would have been an easy sell.
Despite a year away from the gridiron for the tight end, Gronkowski's always been one of, if not Brady's favorite target. The recently turned 31-year-old has 78 touchdown passes from Brady in the regular season, which doubles the next-best clip (Julian Edelman, 39).
If there's one long shot to like, it's O.J. Howard (+800). The fantasy community seems to always have a soft spot for the former first-round pick, who's had to fight for targets with fellow tight end Cameron Brate. Instead of building off a 2018 campaign that produced 565 yards on 34 catches with five scores, Howard put up a line of 34-459-1 last year.
However, Howard's career 15.5 yards per catch is enticing. Betting a player who can score from virtually anywhere on the field might not be the worst idea in the world, much less at a price like 8-1.
Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.
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