NFL Coach of the Year odds: Belichick still the favorite in uncertain season
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Don't look now but the NFL season is scheduled to kick off in a month. Bill Belichick opened as the NFL Coach of the Year favorite and that hasn't changed despite multiple New England Patriots players choosing to opt out of the 2020 season.
Here is a look at the odds for all 32 coaches and a breakdown of the field.
| Odds | Coach |
|---|---|
| Bill Belichick | +1000 |
| Bruce Arians | +1200 |
| Mike McCarthy | +1300 |
| Andy Reid | +1600 |
| Kyle Shanahan | +1600 |
| Kevin Stefanski | +1800 |
| John Harbaugh | +1900 |
| Brian Flores | +2000 |
| Frank Reich | +2000 |
| Mike Vrabel | +2000 |
| Sean McDermott | +2000 |
| Sean Payton | +2000 |
| Kliff Kingsbury | +2500 |
| Mike Tomlin | +2500 |
| Sean McVay | +2500 |
| Vic Fangio | +2500 |
| Anthony Lynn | +2800 |
| Doug Pederson | +2800 |
| Mike Zimmer | +2800 |
| Pete Carroll | +2800 |
| Zak Taylor | +2800 |
| Matt LaFleur | +3000 |
| Ron Rivera | +3000 |
| Dan Quinn | +3300 |
| Matt Nagy | +3300 |
| Bill O'Brien | +4000 |
| Joe Judge | +4000 |
| Jon Gruden | +4000 |
| Matt Patricia | +4000 |
| Matt Rhule | +4000 |
| Adam Gase | +5000 |
| Doug Marrone | +5000 |
Belichick remains the favorite even with Tom Brady departing for Tampa Bay and eight Patriots opting out of the season, including offensive tackle Marcus Cannon, linebacker Dont'a Hightower, and safety Patrick Chung. Belichick is arguably the greatest coach in NFL history, but given all the key pieces New England is missing, +1000 is too short a price for bettors to take a bite.
Bruce Arians (+1200) and Mike McCarthy (+1300) are next in line. Like Belichick, McCarthy is a little overvalued heading into the season. The Dallas Cowboys are loaded on offense and should be improved overall with McCarthy taking over for Jason Garrett. However, Dallas' defense lacks depth and the secondary could be one of the NFL's worst, making McCarthy a pass at 13-1.
Arians is the obvious choice among the favorites. Brady and Rob Gronkowski join an already talented roster that is +1500 to win the Super Bowl. The Buccaneers went 7-9 last season with Jameis Winston turning the ball over every time he turned around. With Brady stabilizing the offense and a defense that improved over the course of last year, the Bucs are strong candidates to improve their win total by four or five games. If you're looking to bet one of the favorites, Arians is the best option on the board.
ValueThe coach with the most value is Seattle's Pete Carroll at 28-1. The Seahawks are seemingly all-in this season after trading for New York Jets safety Jamal Adams and expressing interest in receiver Antonio Brown. Russell Wilson finally has weapons on the outside and the Seahawks' young defense is likely to improve in 2020 with the addition of Adams. Carroll sitting at +2800 is too good to pass up.
The other obvious candidate is Ron Rivera at 30-1. Rivera takes over a Washington team that won just three games in 2019. However, he does have some talent to work with. Washington's defensive front is one of the best in the NFL, while the return of quarterback Alex Smith from a devastating leg injury could boost an offense that finished last in scoring (16.6 points per game). Washington will be one of the most improved teams this season under Rivera. He's a steal at 30-1.
Best betMike Tomlin +2500
Tomlin sitting at 25-1 to win NFL Coach of the Year is a gift from the Gods. He led the Pittsburgh Steelers to an 8-8 record and just missed reaching the playoffs despite losing Ben Roethlisberger for the season in Week 2. Pittsburgh features one of the NFL's top defenses, and with Roethlisberger healthy, the offense will be much better than the 27th-ranked unit that averaged 18.1 points per game last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens are the AFC's two best teams, but don't count out the undervalued Steelers. Back Tomlin at 25-1.
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
Thomas Casale is theScore's supervising editor of sports betting. He's been following the sports betting industry for almost 30 years. A devoted fan of the wishbone offense, Thomas bets on all sports but specializes in college football, NFL, and college basketball. Find him on Twitter @TheTomCasale.
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