NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds: Murray is built for this award
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While the MVP is heavily influenced by narrative, the Offensive Player of the Year award tends to focus strictly on statistical achievement. An offensive player has won MVP each of the last 33 seasons, but a different player won Offensive Player of the Year in 16 of those campaigns, sometimes at the same position as the MVP winner.
With that in mind, here are the odds to win this year's award (50-1 or shorter) and our three favorite value bets.
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +500 |
| Lamar Jackson | +800 |
| Christian McCaffrey | +1100 |
| Russell Wilson | +1500 |
| Saquon Barkley | +1600 |
| Michael Thomas | +1800 |
| Derrick Henry | +2100 |
| Dalvin Cook | +2400 |
| Deshaun Watson | +2500 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | +2800 |
| Kyler Murray | +3000 |
| Aaron Jones | +3500 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +4000 |
| Carson Wentz | +4000 |
| Chris Godwin | +4000 |
| Dak Prescott | +4000 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | +4000 |
| Josh Jacobs | +4400 |
| Julio Jones | +4400 |
| Nick Chubb | +4400 |
| Tom Brady | +4500 |
| Cam Newton | +5000 |
| Drew Brees | +5000 |
| Travis Kelce | +5000 |
In 2019, McCaffrey joined the coveted 1,000-1,000 club by recording 1,387 rushing yards and 1,005 receiving yards, but his performance was usurped by Offensive Player of the Year winner Michael Thomas and runner-up Lamar Jackson - both of whom built their seasons on unsustainable metrics.
McCaffrey was trending toward a 1,000-1,000 season for years, and playing alongside check-down king Teddy Bridgewater could actually boost his receiving stats while also placing a greater emphasis on him as a rusher. Buy now before McCaffrey runs away with this award.
Kyler Murray (+3000)The MVP hype around Murray has gotten out of control, mostly because the Cardinals won't win enough games for him to be in the discussion. But, oddly enough, his price for this award hasn't gotten the same treatment, and he's far more likely to win this one.
A year ago, Murray became only the second rookie to surpass 3,500 passing yards and 500 rushing yards, and only Andrew Luck had more 300-yard passing games as a rookie than the Texas native (5). Add star receiver DeAndre Hopkins and another year in Kliff Kingsbury's system, and the sky is the limit for Murray.
Nick Chubb (+4400)Did you know that Chubb finished second in rushing yards last year (1,494) with the sixth-highest yards per carry (5.0) of any running back? You'd be forgiven for missing it amid Cleveland's chaotic 2019 season. However, Chubb was arguably better in 2018, when he finished fifth in yards per attempt (5.2) with eight touchdowns on 192 carries.
This offseason, the Browns signed Jack Conklin - one of the best run-blockers in the NFL - and drafted first-round tackle Jedrick Wills Jr. to help fix their woeful offensive line. Those moves should do wonders for Chubb, who's a favorite to lead the league in rushing and is a phenomenal bet at this price.
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.
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