Super Bowl odds update: Ravens' title price surges after MNF win
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Maybe the Ravens' title hopes aren't dead after all.
After trading as high as 33-1 to win the Super Bowl at some shops just two weeks ago, Baltimore (+1500) stormed back into the title picture on Monday following its wild 47-42 win over the Browns - keeping the Ravens' playoff hopes alive and reminding everyone why they were one of the shortest preseason championship favorites.
The biggest story from Monday's game might be the brutal bad beat that cost Cleveland +3 bettors on the game's final play. The real notable development, though, should be the performance of Baltimore's offense, which scored 45 points for the first time since last season. Lamar Jackson finally rediscovered his MVP magic while producing 287 total yards - including 124 on the ground - and three touchdowns, teasing the immense upside of this group when its skill-position players are healthy.
The Ravens averaged 6.8 yards per play against the Browns, the fifth-most in Week 14, and they averaged 7.4 yards a week ago in a blowout win over the Cowboys. Baltimore is one of just five teams to average over six yards per play during the last three weeks, which includes a shorthanded Wednesday outing against the Steelers. And defensively, the Ravens' unit has been among the league's best all season.
Monday's effort was a clear outlier for Baltimore's defense, though if you're going to discount the entire group's contributions after that performance, you'd need to believe in the Ravens' offense after a strong showing, too. The truth is likely somewhere in the middle, but that's good enough to take a shot at reasonable odds and back one of the NFL's most talented and well-built rosters. If this year's team is even 90% as good as the 2019 version, it's worth the price.
Here are the updated Super Bowl odds through Week 14, with three teams to watch beyond the Ravens:
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +180 |
| Green Bay Packers | +600 |
| New Orleans Saints | +700 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1000 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +1100 |
| Buffalo Bills | +1200 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +1200 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +1400 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1500 |
| Cleveland Browns | +2500 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +2600 |
| Tennessee Titans | +3000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +6000 |
| Miami Dolphins | +6500 |
| Washington Football Team | +6500 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +8000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +10000 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +12500 |
| New York Giants | +15000 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +17500 |
| Chicago Bears | +20000 |
| New England Patriots | +20000 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +25000 |
| Denver Broncos | +50000 |
| Detroit Lions | +50000 |
Oddsmakers are finally giving the Bills some respect after the club's consecutive prime-time wins, with Buffalo riding a five-game win streak against the spread and a 6-1 run straight up. The team's offense has now scored 26-plus points in five straight games, while its oft-criticized defense held the Steelers to 15 points in one of the unit's best performances this campaign.
The value has probably been priced out of Buffalo at 12-1, but if you missed out on the Bills early, I can't fault you for taking a swing at this number. Their offense is one of the AFC's few that can keep up with the Chiefs' unit, and Buffalo's defense is talented enough to reach the top tier by year's end.
Indianapolis Colts (+2600)This is a curious price for the Colts, who advanced metrics rank as a consensus top-10 team, and they're probably closer to the top five. Instead, they're priced outside of the top 10 despite fielding an elite defense and a high-upside offense, all while facing a manageable schedule down the stretch.
Indianapolis hasn't played a grueling slate this year, but it's lost just three times in the last 13 weeks, dropping games to the Browns, Ravens, and Titans - all potential playoff teams. The club has also posted impressive recent wins over the Titans and Packers. It's hard to take issue with this number, even if you're skeptical of Philip Rivers in the playoffs.
Miami Dolphins (+6500)Yes, the Dolphins aren't likely to win the Super Bowl. But 65-1? Miami's defense is one of the NFL's best, and the only unit to make Patrick Mahomes look human this year, picking him off three times on Sunday during the Dolphins' league-leading 10th ATS win this season.
Their offense is still finding its rhythm, but Tua Tagovailoa has flashed during moments of brilliance, and one of the best defense and special teams combos in the league supports him. Miami is still the No. 7 seed in the AFC, and it's getting shortchanged with these odds.
(Odds source: theScore Bet)
C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.
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