Week 15 player prop bets: Tua, Hurts face stiff matchups

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There are only three weeks remaining in the NFL regular season, so let's get the most out of this Sunday's slate.

Here are the best player props to consider for this weekend.

Tua Tagovailoa under 19.5 completions

Tagovailoa has his hands full against the New England Patriots' defense. Bill Belichick and Co. held fellow rookie quarterback Justin Herbert to season lows in both completion percentage (49.1%) and QBR (43.7).

The Miami Dolphins signal-caller recorded 54 completions during his last two games, but one was against the No. 30 DVOA pass defense (Cincinnati Bengals) and the other was a shootout with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs.

The market expects a low-scoring game, as both quarterbacks face difficult matchups, but Tagovailoa is the easier fade.

Jalen Hurts under 212.5 passing yards

Hurts - who's coming off his first career win against the New Orleans Saints in his first-ever start - also faces a tough challenge this week.

Despite mostly being known for their offensive prowess, the Arizona Cardinals have been quietly solid on defense this season. They crept into the top 10 in DVOA defense this past week by limiting the New York Giants to just 3.2 yards per play and seven points.

Arizona's secondary ranks No. 9 in DVOA pass defense and Hurts came up more than 40 yards short of this total last Sunday.

This is plenty of cushion for a pass offense that's just No. 27 in DVOA.

Allen Robinson over 71.5 receiving yards

Don't look now, but the Chicago Bears' offense is heating up.

The Bears have scored 25-plus points during each of the last three games behind quarterback Mitchell Trubisky, who's provided a spark in the passing game. His favorite option continues to be Robinson, who continues to terrorize opposing cornerbacks.

The No. 1 receiver tied his season high with 123 yards last weekend and has 74 or more in three straight. He has one of the best matchups on Sunday against a Minnesota Vikings secondary allowing the third-most fantasy points to receivers lined up wide.

Philip Rivers' longest completion over 36.5 yards

This number is criminally low.

Rivers has become accustomed to chucking it, shattering this total in each of his last five games. He posted his third-highest rating of the year in the Indianapolis Colts' first meeting with the Houston Texans, logging 285 yards, a pair of touchdowns, and, most importantly, a long of 39 yards.

Houston's secondary ranks No. 26 in DVOA pass defense and No. 16 in explosive pass rate allowed. Rivers should have his way yet again.

(Odds source: theScore Bet)

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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