Week 17 player prop guide: Milestones and incentives you need to know
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There's a lot more that goes into capping player props in Week 17.
With the regular season drawing to a close, there are players eyeing history, pursuing statistical milestones, and chasing contract incentives.
Here's everything you need to know:
MilestonesJustin Jefferson
Jefferson can vault his rookie campaign from remarkable to historic based on his Week 17 stat line.
The wideout needs 47 yards to break Randy Moss' Vikings rookie receiving record and 111 yards to pass Anquan Boldin's rookie receiving record for most receiving yards in the Super Bowl era. Jefferson can also tie Odell Beckham's rookie record for most 100-yard receiving games since the merger if he surpasses the mark against the Lions.
Over 75.5 yards and 5.5 receptions are both worth hard looks this weekend for Minnesota's first-year receiver.
Russell Wilson
Wilson has compiled a long list of accolades in eight NFL seasons, but one he's never accomplished is throwing 40 touchdown passes. The quarterback has already set a career high with 38 this season and needs two more against the 49ers to hit the landmark.
Over 1.5 passing touchdowns for Wilson is juiced heavily at -160. He's thrown 13 touchdowns in his last five games against San Francisco, including four in the meeting earlier this season.
Lamar Jackson
Jackson would become the first quarterback in league history to rush for 1,000 yards twice with 92 rushing yards against the Bengals. He had just three rushing yards in the 27-3 win over Cincinnati earlier this season - his lowest total of the season by far and one of just two games he failed to rush for at least 45 - but managed totals of 65, 119, and 152 in his first three games against the Bengals.
The 23-year-old's total is set at 61.5 for this Week 17 must-win tilt.
Other notables:
| TEAM | PLAYER | NEEDS | TO REACH |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | Kenyan Drake | 81 rushing yards | 1000 |
| CIN | Tee Higgins | 92 receiving yards | 1000 |
| CLE | Nick Chubb | 41 rushing yards | 1000 |
| DAL | Ezekiel Elliott | 63 rushing yards | 1000 |
| DAL | CeeDee Lamb | 108 receiving yards | 1000 |
| DEN | Melvin Gordon | 107 rushing yards | 1000 |
| IND | Jonathan Taylor | 84 rushing yards | 1000 |
| LV | Derek Carr | 286 passing yards | 4000 |
| LV | Josh Jacobs | 34 rushing yards | 1000 |
| LAR | Robert Woods | 100 receiving yards | 1000 |
| MIN | Adam Thielen | 132 receiving yards | 1000 |
| NYG | Daniel Jones | 286 passing yards | 3000 |
| TB | Ronald Jones | 100 rushing yards | 1000 |
| TB | Mike Evans | 40 receiving yards | 1000 |
| TEN | A.J. Brown | 76 receiving yards | 1000 |
| TEN | Corey Davis | 55 receiving yards | 1000 |
| TEN | Ryan Tannehill | 397 passing yards | 4000 |
Tom Brady
Most of Brady's larger contract incentives are win-based, but there's a specific stat-based one he can secure this weekend. The veteran signal-caller can earn $562,500 if he finishes top-five in the league in passing touchdowns - he enters the weekend fourth with 36.
Additionally, Brady needs four passing scores against the Falcons to become the first player aged 40 or older with 40. Brady over 2.5 passing touchdowns is currently priced at +130.
Tyler Lockett
Lockett already earned an extra 200k for going over 85 receptions on the season, but he still needs 36 more yards to reach 1,000 receiving yards, which will earn him another 200k bonus. His yardage total is set at 50.5 against the 49ers.
Andy Dalton
The biggest incentive up for grabs this weekend is the one in Dalton's contract - but it's not quite individual-performance based. If the Cowboys make the playoffs and Dalton plays over 50% of the team's offensive snaps, and he has already, he unlocks a $1 million bonus.
Alex Moretto is theScore's supervising editor of sports betting. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.
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