NHL Tuesday best bets: Jets to fly high at home

Monday was a strong night on the ice as both of our player props hit at plus money.

With 11 games on Tuesday's slate, we can get back to playing some sides and totals as well.

Let's dive into a couple of my favorites.

The Oilers are a good team but they still have flaws, especially defensively.

Over the last 10 games, Edmonton ranks 29th in expected goals against and dead last in high-danger chances allowed at five-on-five. They bleed quality chances - they just have the firepower to outscore their problems.

I'm not sure they'll be able to do that on Tuesday. The Jets lead the NHL in high-danger chances over the last 10 games. They're constantly creating Grade A looks, which is bad news for a team struggling to prevent them.

Conversely, the Jets have been an above-average team of late at suppressing chances, and it doesn't hurt to have 2020 Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck there to clean up any mess made in front of them.

Beyond edges in goal and current five-on-five form, this is also a big schedule win for the Jets. They're rested, they're at home, and they haven't been forced to travel since October.

Meanwhile, Edmonton is playing its fifth road game since last Tuesday and its fourth in six nights.

I see plenty of value on the home underdogs.

Bet: Jets (-105)

The Nashville Predators tend to play low-event games. They don't generate a ton of chances and do a pretty good job of limiting the danger in front of Juuse Saros.

Simply put, they try and suck the life out of each game. That plan is even more evident with Filip Forsberg out of the mix.

Nashville ranks 27th in expected goal generation over the last 10 games. On the flip side, they sit fourth in expected goal suppression.

Believe it or not, the Maple Leafs have also effectively protected the danger zones in front of Jack Campbell. They slot eighth in xGA per 60 over the last 10.

Each team is defending well, and each team has reason to expect a quality start from their netminder.

Saros sits 12th in goals saved above expectation this season; Campbell grades out even better, sitting fourth.

Don't expect a ton of goals in this one.

Bet: Under 5.5 (-105)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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