Article 5X4QY NHL Tuesday best bets: Can Golden Knights rebound in Winnipeg?

NHL Tuesday best bets: Can Golden Knights rebound in Winnipeg?

by
Todd Cordell
from on (#5X4QY)
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We have a jam-packed schedule to look forward to Tuesday night as 22 of the league's 32 teams will be in action.

Let's waste no time and get to our best bets.

Bruins (-190) @ Blackhawks (+155)

We backed the Boston Bruins on the puck line against the Chicago Blackhawks on Thursday, and the Bruins did everything but cover.

They were by far the superior team, controlling 58% of the shot attempts, 60% of the expected goals, and 62% of the scoring chances. They fully deserved their win and were unlucky the game was even close.

I expect Boston to be the decisively better side again in this game. Its current form is remarkably good, and the team is full value for its 8-1-1 record over the last 10 games, sitting second in expected goal share (57.71%).

Chicago won four of its last 10 and sits 26th in five-on-five expected goal share over that period. Suffice to say, Boston is playing at a significantly higher level.

While Linus Ullmark isn't Jeremy Swayman, the Swede is more than capable of matching this year's version of Marc-Andre Fleury. Ullmark has conceded around 0.20 goals more than expected per start while Fleury sits at around 0.40.

There really aren't many - any? - edges for Chicago in this game. Back the Bruins to pick up another win inside 60.

Bet: Bruins in regulation (-112)

Golden Knights (+105) @ Jets (-125)

The Vegas Golden Knights feel like a sinking ship right now. The injuries continue to pile up at an alarming rate, which makes it very difficult to get a result on any given night.

While the injuries are a real cause for concern and help justify the losses piling up, I think the Golden Knights have been a little unlucky of late. Healthy players or not, they're playing better than the results suggest.

Over the last 10 games, they rank third in five-on-five shot share and fourth in expected goals. They're routinely getting the better of the chances.

Their shooting percentage during that span ranks 29th, and that's hurt them. It doesn't matter how many chances you generate if you can't finish any of them.

The good news is the Winnipeg Jets have just the ailment the Golden Knights need: poor goaltending. Winnipeg's goaltenders have combined to post a sub-.900 save percentage over the last 10 games.

Connor Hellebuyck is generally one of the better netminders in the league, but he's simply not right at the moment. That's good news for Vegas. Even with several key players out of the lineup, it still has names like Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson, Alex Pietrangelo, Shea Theodore healthy and ready to go. It's also possible Max Pacioretty can play.

With or without him, I'm happy to take my chances on Vegas enjoying some positive regression against a struggling netminder.

Bet: Golden Knights (-105)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.

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