Stroud becomes odds-on favorite to win OROY following Achane injury
Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud became the odds-on favorite to win the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the Year award Tuesday following the news that De'Von Achane will miss time with a knee injury.
Stroud, who was selected second overall behind Bryce Young, was the favorite prior to Sunday's game, but the betting market now believes his chance of claiming the honor is greater than 50%.
Stroud was +175 (36.4% implied probability) before the Texans' two-point loss on the road to the Falcons. He's now -115, or 53.5% likely to win the award, according to oddsmakers at theScore Bet.
While Stroud's record-setting start to his career is more than deserving of the odds-on favorite title, the most recent shift in probability is largely due to the fact that Achane's knee injury could reportedly keep him out multiple weeks.
The Dolphins' tailback took the league by storm with his play over the start of the season. He is second in the league with 460 rushing yards and scored seven times over a three-game span.
Achane was +4000 (bet $100, with $4,000) to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year award prior to the season. Before Sunday, he was as short at +425. He's now priced at +2000 with the news he could end up on the IR.
A price adjustment from +425 to +2000 is a 14.2% change in implied probability, with a large chunk of Achane's win equity shifting to Stroud.
Bijan Robinson and Puka Nacua are the second favorites to win the award at +425. Anthony Richardson, who left Sunday's game with a shoulder injury, is +2500.
Young went from the preseason favorite to +15000 after a rough start to his career.
Copyright (C) 2023 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.