Portugal election campaign heats up as voters prepare to go to the polls on Sunday - Europe live

Portugal's prime minister Antonio Costa resigned last November amid investigation into handling of green investment projects

We've received a note from Miguel Barreira, a member of the Liberal Initiative party, which has polling at around 5%.

More than Chega (or, as I call it, Ventura's one-person Party), who it seems to be losing steam and radicalising its campaign in these last few days, my party will probably be key to allow PSD to form a working majority, without accepting any kind of talks or negotiating with the far-right Chega.

Well, time to get back to the campaign trail.

We continue to believe that the most likely scenario is a right-wing coalition with the support of the far-right populist Chega. If the AD wins the most votes, there is a possibility that the PS will refrain from bringing down a centre-right minority government so as to keep Chega out of government.

This arrangement would in any case be likely to last only until the 2025 budget comes to a vote towards the end of this year. Another snap election in 2024 or early 2025 is therefore a risk.