Here's how the winner of the 2024 US presidential election did it | Jonathan Freedland

We don't yet know whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris will prevail in Tuesday's contest - but when we do, it won't feel hard to explain

Here's one prediction about the US election you can take to the bank. When the result is finally known, there will be a stampede of experts and prognosticators rushing to insist that, in effect, they knew it all along - that, hard though it was to glimpse through the fog of polls and shifting data, the eventual outcome was obvious. Even inevitable.

That will be truer still if, when the voters' will is finally known, it turns out not to have been so close after all, with one of the two main candidates sweeping most of the swing states to rack up a healthy majority in the electoral college if not the popular vote.