Study finds slim odds of record heat, but not as slim as reported | John Abraham

Statistically, it's crystal clear that we keep setting temperature records due to human-caused global warming

No, this isn't another article about how damn hot 2015 was. Although just between us, I may have lost a bet to climate seer Joe Romm because he correctly predicted 2015 would blow 2014 out of the water. Instead, this is a post about the probability that temperature records keep getting broken if climate change is natural.

A paper just published in Nature Scientific Reports by Michael Mann and Stefan Rahmstorf and their colleagues considered this question. In particular, they wanted to know how likely recent temperature records and the string of records would be if the climate was completely driven by natural variations. Not even including the crazy-hot 2015, what did the authors find?