Why I am wrong about Brexit, and you are too

Being wrong is easier than you think. So how can you be sure you will make the right choice in the EU referendum?

I have to start with a confession: I don't think I'm wrong about Britain's membership of the EU. I've weighed up the pros and cons and in the referendum on 23^rd June I will in all likelihood be voting to remain. And nor do I think that you will feel you have erred in determining your position on the Brexit debate, whatever that may be.

But both of us are wronger than we think - probably - and not just because it is so difficult to establish the facts amid the noise of the ill-tempered, ill-informed and often mendacious debate on the rights and wrongs of the EU - to say nothing of the intrinsic biases of news reporting. There's also the deeper matter of our built-in and rather slippery aptitude for error, a topic explored in all its intriguing dimensions in Kathryn Schulz's Being Wrong, which I turned to last week in the midst of my struggles with the EU referendum.