The polls could be right about Labour's gains - but also misleading

Don't be fooled by apparently good numbers. Despite Labour's recent gains, regional trends in polling suggest big names like Tom Watson and Clive Lewis, along with Lib Dem leader Tim Farron, could be under threat

You might think that Tom Watson has a pretty safe seat. Labour's Deputy Leader and MP for West Bromwich East enjoys a majority over 9,400, which he increased from 6,700 at the 2015 election, only two years ago. In fact, Labour have won every single election in the seat since it was created in 1974. They've had a recent boost in the polls, and could even beat their share of the vote in 2015. What could possibly go wrong?

Tom Watson is in big trouble. The sky is falling. Blue meteors are hurtling toward his head, spewing smoke and fire across the skies of West Bromwich. Swarms of purple locusts muttering about foreigners have turned the sky black and plunged the town into darkness. A town full of people who could barely even tell you what a Tory looked like ten years ago could be on the verge of electing one next week.