NFL betting preview: Week 10 lines, totals
Sportsbooks all over were crushed last Sunday, as some establishments lost multi-millions in NFL's Week 9. Many assume the 'books will rebound in Week 10, so let's take a deep dive into the slate to highlight the biggest line and total moves since the openers.
Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay BuccaneersOpen: TB -1 / 50.5
Current: TB -3 / 51
The Buccaneers will close as favorites for just the third time this season and will aim to cover for the first time when laying chalk. The Redskins aren't garnering much attention, especially after losing three starters - wide receiver Paul Richardson and offensive linemen Shawn Lauvao and Brandon Scherff - to injured reserve in last week's loss to the Atlanta Falcons. It'll be a matchup of Washington's No. 25 scoring offense versus Tampa Bay's league-worst scoring defense. There's been little movement since the market shaped the line and total earlier in the week.
Detroit Lions at Chicago BearsOpen: CHI -3.5 / 46.5
Current: CHI -7 / 44.5
The Bears have seen one of the biggest jumps from the openers, crossing some key numbers and sitting at a full seven points. Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions' offense have been outscored 52-23 in the last two weeks and mustered nine points last Sunday in their first game without wide receiver Golden Tate. A team that plays its home games in a dome will now play in 40-degree temperatures against a Chicago defense that has allowed 17 points or fewer in three of four games at Soldier Field this season. Sportsbooks will likely have teaser liabilities with the Bears at that number.
Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City ChiefsOpen: KC -14 / 50
Current: KC -15.5 / 49.5
One of the league's public darlings unsurprisingly was bet up early in the week. The Chiefs opened as 14-point favorites, ticked up to -17, and sat -16.5 most of the week but are currently -15.5. The Cardinals will make the trip from the West Coast to play an early start on their body clocks, but Arizona does come in with extra rest off the bye week. Kansas City head coach Andy Reid is 1-4 against the number the last five times as a double-digit favorite, losing two outright. There could be rain in the forecast but not until the late afternoon.
Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland BrownsOpen: ATL -2.5 / 51
Current: ATL -6 / 50.5
If the 'books want to avoid another losing day, the Cleveland Browns covering would be a good start.
Atlanta's also crossed key numbers as huge public favorites over the slumping Browns, being pushed up to six in most shops. There's no denying the money pouring in on the Falcons, as they had attracted six times as many tickets as Cleveland at MGM 'books as of late Saturday night. The Falcons haven't covered against an AFC opponent in their last eight tries under head coach Dan Quinn.
New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati BengalsOpen: NO -3.5 / 55
Current: NO -5.5 / 53.5
From one NFC South road favorite to another, Saints tickets have piled up over the week. New Orleans is the league's hottest team, winning its last seven, none bigger than last week's over the then-undefeated Los Angeles Rams. The Bengals come off their bye week, but a struggling offense lost its biggest weapon in A.J. Green, who will be sidelined for multiple weeks with a toe injury. New Orleans was getting 5.5 times as many bets as Cincinnati late Saturday night.
New England Patriots at Tennessee TitansOpen: NE -6 / 48.5
Current: NE -6.5 / 47
The Titans are no strangers to being home 'dogs. It'll be the fourth straight situation and the biggest number so far for Tennessee, which followed up a narrow one-point loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 7 with a Monday Night Football win over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9. The New England Patriots have won six straight overall and five of the last six against the spread but will be without star tight end Rob Gronkowski. The public loves backing the Patriots, and this week is no different - MGM had six times as many New England tickets as Tennessee.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis ColtsOpen: IND -1 / 47.5
Current: IND -3 / 46.5
Bettors are buying the Colts, whose offense has averaged 34.2 points per game over the last five. Indianapolis has picked up wins in consecutive weeks heading into Week 10. The Jaguars are looking to snap a four-game skid, but they do have statistics working in their favor. Road teams off a bye week are on a 60-23 run against the spread. Additionally, quarterback Blake Bortles has feasted on Indianapolis over the last six meetings, posting an average quarterback rating of 105.3, with 10 total touchdowns and zero interceptions.
Buffalo Bills at New York JetsOpen: NYJ -7 / 36.5
Current: NYJ -7.5 / 36.5
The Jets will also likely be a teaser liability despite the change under center for Week 10 against the Bills. New York rookie Sam Darnold will miss Sunday's game with a foot injury, forcing veteran backup Josh McCown into the fold. That's not the only quarterback news - Buffalo is going with Matt Barkley, who was signed by the team on Halloween. Two rusty quarterbacks leading stagnant offenses should lead to a fair share of under bets for Sunday's AFC East clash.
Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland RaidersOpen: LA -7.5 / 50.5
Current: LA -10 / 49.5
Bettors aren't gun shy on the Chargers, who opened as touchdown-plus road favorites against the Oakland Raiders for Week 10. That line moved up to double digits, and it's clear why: It's a matchup of two teams heading in opposite directions. Los Angeles has ripped off five straight wins while the Raiders own a lone win this season. Bettors are going back to the well and fading Oakland, which is just 2-7 against the spread this season. The previous matchup wasn't close to hitting the posted number of 52 in the Chargers' 26-10 win, so this total has been bet down a full point.
Miami Dolphins at Green Bay PackersOpen: GB -7.5 / 47.5
Current: GB -10 / 47.5
The Miami Dolphins will take a break from the humidity in Florida to play in 35-degree weather at Lambeau Field, where bettors are expecting Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to get the job done. Typically attracting money on a weekly basis, Green Bay naturally opened as a touchdown favorite but was immediately bet up to double digits throughout the week. The Pack have already had a couple close calls this season at home, including a three-point win as nine-point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers and a one-point victory over the Bears as seven-point favorites in the opener. This one's remained rather steady at -10/47.5 in most shops all week.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles RamsOpen: LAR -9.5 / 50.5
Current: LAR -9 / 50
The Rams yet again caught some steam after opening under double digits, hitting 10 before coming down to 9.5 and now sitting at -9. The Seahawks gave Los Angeles a dogfight in their Week 5 meeting - a 33-31 Rams win. L.A. is coming off its first loss of the season. Seattle has gone under the total in eight of its last nine divisional road games under head coach Pete Carroll.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia EaglesOpen: PHI -5.5 / 43.5
Current: PHI -7.5 / 44
Bettors weren't expecting a bounce-back from the Cowboys throughout the week, opening with the Eagles at -5.5 and moving all the way up to 7.5. Dallas lost outright as a 4.5-point favorite Monday night against the Titans, while Philadelphia is coming off its bye week. Defensively for the Cowboys, injury-riddled linebacker Sean Lee will be out until December. Offensively, Dallas is averaging just 13.3 points per game over its last six road contests. The Eagles, meanwhile, are 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread over their last eight prime-time games.
New York Giants at San Francisco 49ersOpen: SF -1.5 / 43.5
Current: SF -3.5 / 44.5
Tickets piled up against the 49ers when they announced Nick Mullens would start last Thursday against the Raiders, but the opposite could be said for Monday Night Football. Bettors are trusting the backup to put on another masterful display after the quarterback threw for 262 yards and three touchdowns against Oakland, this time against the New York Giants, pushing the opener of 1.5 past a key number to 3.5.
Alex Kolodziej is theScore's betting writer. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 11 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.
Copyright (C) 2018 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.