Betting picks for every team total in Week 14
Here's a look at the team totals for all 32 teams playing in Week 14, along with our picks and confidence level:
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee TitansJaguars' team total: 16.5 points
The Jaguars' offense just posted 211 total yards behind quarterback Cody Kessler and new offensive coordinator Scott Milanovich. While it's difficult to draw conclusions off one game, there's a small lean to the under. You shouldn't be surprised if the Jaguars have 35 by the end of the third, though.
Pick: Under (-138)
Confidence Level: a
Titans' team total: 22.5 points
The Titans welcome a Jags defense that has allowed 24 or more points in their previous four road games. This is the most volatile game from a team total standpoint all week.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a
Giants' team total: 23.5 points
Despite not taking advantage of a depleted Eagles secondary two weeks ago, the Giants have quietly turned it on offensively. They're averaging 6.2 yards per play over the previous three games and have posted 22 or more points in each of the previous four.
Pick: Over 23.5 (+100)
Confidence Level: a a
Redskins' team total: 17.5 points
How will the Redskins operate under backup quarterback Mark Sanchez? Last week's abbreviated start didn't inspire much confidence.
Pick: Under (-125)
Confidence Level: a a
Falcons' team total: 22.5 points
Don't get caught up in the paper test - the Falcons' offense has dropped off significantly over the previous month. They have failed to hit the 20-point mark in four straight games and are coming off a loss in which they recorded 131 total net yards. Now they head to Lambeau Field to play in below-freezing temps.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Packers' team total: 27.5 points
While pundits scramble to give their Aaron Rodgers takes, we're just going to state the obvious: the Packers' offense is overrated. The 6.0 yards per play is nice, but Green Bay is still in the middle of the pack in scoring and they don't feel as dangerous as in years past. We'll continue to take the inflated numbers.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Saints' team total: 33.5 points
Saints quarterback Drew Brees is coming off his worst performance of the season after posting a 71.6 quarterback rating in a 13-10 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Brees has recorded a QBR of 80.0 or worse 35 times since 2008. Coming off a situation like this, he and the Saints are averaging more than 33 points per game the following contest. With that in mind, there's no defense that needs to be exposed quite like the Buccaneers, who have lucked their way into six interceptions combined over the previous two games.
Pick: Over (-125)
Confidence Level: a a a a a
Buccaneers' team total: 23.5 points
This is a dream matchup for the Bucs: big underdogs who figure to be trailing for much of Sunday's game. Tampa's put up points when down a bunch and could actually have an advantage with the No. 1 pass offense squaring off against the No. 30 pass defense.
Pick: Over (-110)
Confidence Level: a a a a
Panthers' team total: 23.5 points
Cam Newton's four-interception game last week against the Bucs made it seven picks for the quarterback over Carolina's current four-game losing streak. The Browns' defense has been great at home but we still like the matchups on Panthers' side.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a a a
Browns' team total: 23.5 points
We expect Baker Mayfield to right the ship following a three-interception game last weekend against the Houston Texans. Carolina's defense has had a tough time traveling this season, ranking No. 25 in opponent quarterback passer rating (100.2) on the road.
Pick: Over (-110)
Confidence Level: a a a a a
Ravens' team total: 22.5 points
One of the biggest misconceptions is that Lamar Jackson has drastically improved the Ravens' offense. Although he moved to 3-0 as a starter with a win last weekend, the offense is averaging 0.4 adjusted yards worse under the rookie pivot. The Chiefs' defense has been great at home, allowing 23 points or fewer in the previous four games.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Chiefs' team total: 30.5 points
Not even the No. 1 scoring defense scares us enough to take the under at this point.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a
Colts' team total: 21.5 points
We've been somewhat lower than most on the Colts' offense all season, but after they put up a bagel at Jacksonville, we expect Andrew Luck and company to rebound.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Texans' team total: 27.5 points
Houston's offense finally feels like it's in sync, and the Texans are back at home where they've averaged 35 points per game over the previous three.
Pick: Over (-110)
Confidence Level: a a
Patriots' team total: 28.5 points
The Patriots have been a fun fade on the road. Their team total is 8-1 to the under the previous nine games, averaging a shade better than 22 points per contest.
Pick: Under (-125)
Confidence Level: a a a a
Dolphins' team total: 19.5 points
These two teams have combined to go 9-for-9 to the under in divisional games this season and the Dolphins' offense is still tough to trust, averaging just 20.3 points per game in 2018.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Jets' team total: 16.5 points
Sam Darnold under center or not, this is a tough matchup against a Bills defense allowing 4.2 yards per play over the previous three.
Pick: Under (-110)
Confidence Level: a a a
Bills' team total: 20.5 points
The Bills' offense has made some strides over the last few games, but they only had one way to go: up. Now we're starting to see some higher team totals despite the unit lacking playmakers.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Broncos' team total: 25.5 points
The Broncos have gotten by with rookie running back Phillip Lindsay and enough from quarterback Case Keenum to find themselves in the playoff mix. However, playing their third road game in four weeks while dealing with the loss of Emmanuel Sanders, 25.5 points becomes a difficult number to hit.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a a
49ers' team total: 19.5 points
49ers quarterback Nick Mullens gets another home start and will have wide receiver Marquise Goodwin back at his disposal. The Broncos weren't challenged last weekend against the Cincinnati Bengals, so don't be surprised if they come out sluggish to start.
Pick: Over (-138)
Confidence Level: a a a
Bengals' team total: 16.5 points
Jeff Driskel was mediocre in his first start against the Broncos last weekend. This isn't exactly a big number for the Bengals to reach, especially when considering potential garbage-time scores.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a a a
Chargers' team total: 31.5 points
The Chargers earned a big win in prime time last weekend against the Pittsburgh Steelers, erasing a 16-point lead late in the third before stamping the envelope with a time-expiring field goal. This is still a team that has played down to its opposition at home, including a scare against the 49ers and an outright loss to the Broncos.
Pick: Under (-125)
Confidence Level: a a a a
Steelers' team total: 31.5 points
We'll just continue to fade the punching bag that is the Raiders' defense, which can't pressure the quarterback at all. The Steelers have also hit their team total in five of the previous six following a loss.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Raiders' team total: 19.5 points
The only hope we give for the Raiders' offense on a weekly basis is that they score in mop-up time. Seeing as that'll likely be the case - Oakland is a 10.5-point underdog - it's back to the well.
Pick: Over (-138)
Confidence Level: a
Lions' team total: 20.5 points
Congratulations to the Lions, who will finally score more than 22 points in a game for the first time since Week 7.
Pick: Over (-125)
Confidence Level: a a
Cardinals' team total: 19.5 points
The 5.5 yards per play against the Packers last week feels like more of a statistical outlier than a step in the right direction for the Cardinals, who are last in the league at 4.4 adjusted yards per play this season.
Pick: Under (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a a a
Eagles' team total: 19.5 points
A divisional game with high stakes feels more difficult to cap than a Jags-Titans game with a backup quarterback, volatile offense, and a short week to boot. The Eagles finally looked comfortable with Golden Tate in the fold last week and are still one of the best offensive road teams, hitting the team total in nine of the previous 12 under starting quarterback Carson Wentz.
Pick: Over (-138)
Confidence Level: a a a
Cowboys' team total: 23.5 points
The Eagles' secondary earned two passes against a Giants offense that was scared to take shots and a Redskins team on its third-string quarterback. Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper are in a rhythm and they should be able to score enough points at home.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Rams' team total: 27.5 points
Coming off that exciting game against the Chiefs with extra rest, the Rams started slow out of the gates last weekend at Detroit. Los Angeles, in a sense, had a down game ... and still posted 30 points. The Bears' defense is elite but this one should be a track meet.
Pick: Over (-110)
Confidence Level: a a a a
Bears' team total: 24.5 points
It's not every day a top-five offense in the NFL has a team total this low. The Bears get Mitchell Trubisky back under center in a prime-time game coming off a loss, and you can expect head coach Matt Nagy to duel with Sean McVay all night.
Pick: Over (-110)
Confidence Level: a a a a a
Vikings' team total: 20.5 points
The Vikings' pass-heavy offense should be able to run the ball on a Seahawks defense allowing the most rush yards per attempt (5.1), setting up Kirk Cousins for some big plays down the field.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a a
Seahawks' team total: 24.5 points
The Seahawks' offense has been quietly rolling, scoring 27 or more points in seven of the previous eight games. Russell Wilson at home in a prime-time game with playoff implications on the line? This calls for a shootout.
Pick: Over (-120)
Confidence Level: a a a
Alex Kolodziej is theScore's betting writer. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 11 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AlexKoIodziej.
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