Fantasy: 2019 Projections - Is Bears' Trubisky a viable fantasy QB?

Justin Boone

from on 2019-08-04 18:31 (#4MKDG)

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With training camp in full swing, theScore's Justin Boone is releasing his offensive projections for all 32 teams, including his thoughts on every fantasy-relevant player.

Projections are based on the following point values in PPR leagues:

Passing Yards: 1 point per 25 yards
Passing TDs: 4 points
Interceptions: -2 points
Rushing Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
Rushing TDs: 6 points
Receptions: 1 point
Receiving Yards: 1 point per 10 yards
Receiving TDs: 6 points
Fumbles Lost: -2 points
Two-point Conversions: 2 points

2019 Fantasy Projections

AFC East
NE | BUF | NYJ | MIA
AFC North
BAL | CIN | PIT | CLE
AFC South
JAX | IND | HOU | TEN
AFC West
DEN | KC | OAK | LAC
NFC East
DAL | PHI | NYG | WAS
NFC North
DET | GB | MIN | CHI
NFC South
ATL | NO | CAR | TB
NFC West
LAR | SF | SEA | ARI

Chicago BearsMitch Trubisky, QB

Fantasy Points	275.84
Attempts	519
Completions	337
Pass Yards	3768
Pass TDs	25
INTs	14
Carries	71
Rush Yards	434
Rush TDs	2
Fumbles Lost	3
2PT	2

Trubisky showed major improvement during his first year in Matt Nagy's system and ended the season as the QB15 in fantasy despite missing two contests due to injury. The 24-year-old signal-caller is a long way from being a finished product, but he averaged 18.8 fantasy points per game in 2018 - 11th most in the league. His underrated rushing stats make him one of the better late-round values at the position, with his current ADP set in the 14th round as the QB21.

Quarterback depth: Chase Daniel was solid in relief in the two games Trubisky missed. While he's never going to be anything more than a low-ceiling streamer, he can sustain the fantasy value of Chicago's offensive weapons when called upon to start.

David Montgomery, RB

Fantasy Points	178.9
Carries	223
Rush Yards	935
Rush TDs	7
Fumbles Lost	1
Targets	29
Receptions	23
Rec. Yards	164
Rec. TDs	1
2PT	0

The Bears' backfield is a much deeper unit entering the 2019 campaign. The departure of Jordan Howard was offset by the signing of Mike Davis and the selection of Montgomery in the third round. Montgomery projects to take over for Howard as Chicago's lead back and offers more upside as a pass-catcher. However, with Tarik Cohen still handling the bulk of the passing-down work and Davis expected to siphon off some touches of his own, Montgomery remains just outside the top-24 backs in fantasy.

Tarik Cohen, RB

Fantasy Points	175.2
Carries	69
Rush Yards	308
Rush TDs	2
Fumbles Lost	2
Targets	78
Receptions	61
Rec. Yards	574
Rec. TDs	3
2PT	0

Cohen isn't far behind Montgomery in terms of overall fantasy value in PPR formats thanks to his heavy involvement as a receiving weapon. He'll have to contend with more competition for targets from Montgomery and Davis, which should cause Cohen's volume to dip slightly from a year ago. That could make it difficult to repeat his eight touchdowns from 2019, turning him into more of an RB3/flex play.

Running back depth: Davis is both Montgomery and Cohen's handcuff. If either back goes down, Davis will immediately become a flex play. There's a downside though, as he'd need both backs to be sidelined in order to offer the upside of elite handcuffs like Jaylen Samuels or Chase Edmonds.

Allen Robinson, WR

Fantasy Points	196.2
Targets	114
Receptions	67
Rec. Yards	917
Rec. TDs	6
Carries	2
Rush Yards	15
Rush TDs	0
Fumbles Lost	1
2PT	1

Receivers who change teams can often struggle to build chemistry with their new quarterback. That appeared to be the case with Robinson, who had his first 100-yard game as a Bear in Week 10 before rounding out the year with a 10-catch, 143-yard, one-touchdown outing in the playoffs. Those types of week-winning fantasy performances will always be on the table with Robinson. He's a high-upside wideout you should be targeting in either the fifth or sixth round of your draft.

Anthony Miller, WR

Fantasy Points	164.1
Targets	79
Receptions	48
Rec. Yards	772
Rec. TDs	6
Carries	5
Rush Yards	29
Rush TDs	0
Fumbles Lost	0
2PT	0

Miller posted seven touchdowns during his rookie season despite being limited by a shoulder injury he suffered in Week 3. As the Bears' slot receiver, a healthy Miller has a chance to lead the team in receptions while remaining a red-zone threat. The 24-year-old isn't being discussed nearly enough as a breakout candidate for 2019 and costs almost nothing to acquire with his 12th-round ADP.

Receiver depth: Taylor Gabriel is a splash-play receiver who can be considered in best ball but is too volatile to be a re-draft option. Javon Wims flashed potential at times last season and would be in the mix for targets if injuries sidelined any of the starters. Riley Ridley and Emanuel Hall will struggle to earn snaps as rookies.

Trey Burton, TE

Fantasy Points	144.8
Targets	82
Receptions	57
Rec. Yards	588
Rec. TDs	5
Carries	0
Rush Yards	0
Rush TDs	0
Fumbles Lost	0
2PT	0

Burton put up the eighth-most fantasy points among tight ends in a down year for the position. He likely won't see his target totals increase much with Robinson and Miller playing at 100 percent, locking him into the low-end TE1 ranks.

Tight end depth: Former second-round pick Adam Shaheen is a strong backup, though he's struggled to stay on the field in his two NFL campaigns, appearing in just 20 of a possible 32 contests. He won't have much fantasy value if Burton remains healthy.

2019 Fantasy Projections

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