NFL Week 11 player props: Fade DeAndre Hopkins vs. Ravens

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The player prop market is a hot one for bettors. While standard spread and total bets account for an entire game, individual props focus on specific matchups.

Here are five prop bets to consider for Week 11:

DeAndre Hopkins under 6.5 receptions

I know from experience that fading Hopkins can require patience. His catch total has increased significantly from a low of five in Week 4 to a season-high 11 more recently in Week 8.

The Texans are underdogs against the Ravens in a game featuring a high total, making Nuk an obvious splash play in prop or fantasy formats. However, Hopkins will match up against Marcus Peters, who's been the league's No. 1 cornerback the last four weeks, according to PFF. The star defensive back has been elite since joining Baltimore in Week 7, allowing just a 27.0 QBR when targeted.

Derek Carr over 255.5 passing yards

It's crazy how efficient the Raiders offense' has been this season. Oakland enters Week 11 ranked No. 4 in pass offense DVOA, ahead of New Orleans, Green Bay, Houston, and New England. The Raiders also field PFF's fourth-highest graded passing offense.

Sunday provides another opportunity for Oakland to keep cruising. Carr should enjoy a clean pocket against a Bengals pass rush that's 30th in adjusted sack rate, and a Cincinnati secondary ranked last in yards allowed per completion.

Ezekiel Elliott over 114.5 rushing + receiving yards

Elliott posted a horrendous stat line last Sunday against the Vikings, netting just 47 total yards on 20 carries and a pair of catches. His longest run of the game went for six yards, and his 2.4 yards per carry was the Pro Bowler's second-lowest average this season.

A Week 11 matchup against the Lions offers the perfect get-right game, with Elliott facing a defense that's struggling to contain starting running backs. Detroit has allowed a whopping 120.4 rushing yards per game over the team's last five contests, and the Lions' defense has also surrendered four-plus receptions to opposing running backs in all but two games in 2019.

All signs point to a bounce-back outing for Elliott.

Chris Godwin over 79.5 receiving yards

Godwin went on a three-game tear from Weeks 4 to 6, averaging just shy of 150 receiving yards per contest with four touchdowns. However, he's been held to fewer than 75 yards over the Buccaneers' last three games and hasn't scored.

The likely game script against the Saints should provide more opportunities for Godwin in Week 11. The Bucs are 5.5-point underdogs with a total of 50, potentially putting Tampa in more passing situations. The matchup Godwin will face is also appealing, as New Orleans will be without top cornerback Marshon Lattimore, and the team's defense is struggling to cover slot receivers, which is where the Penn State product takes more than half his snaps.

John Brown over 3.5 receptions

Um, 3.5 receptions? For John Brown? The same John Brown who has recorded four-plus catches in every game this season? The over in this spot is a Class 4 felony.

The Bills don't possess much of a passing offense, but anything they can muster is still centered around the veteran receiver. Brown is being targeted on over 23% of Buffalo's throws, and he should pass this number easily against a Dolphins secondary ranked 30th in pass defense DVOA.

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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