NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds: Myles Garrett best bet to win
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The AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year is always interesting because the criteria to win the award is so broad. The player can be returning from an injury (Ben Roethlisberger), suspension (Myles Garrett), or disappointing season (Andy Dalton).
Here are the odds to earn the distinction in 2020, along with a few bets to consider or fade.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ben Roethlisberger | +250 |
| J.J. Watt | +500 |
| A.J. Green | +600 |
| Nick Foles | +600 |
| Cam Newton | +750 |
| Matthew Stafford | +750 |
| Myles Garrett | +1100 |
| Andy Dalton | +3300 |
| C.J. Mosley | +3300 |
| DeSean Jackson | +3300 |
| Joe Flacco | +3300 |
| Jordan Reed | +5000 |
| Malcolm Butler | +5000 |
| Akiem Hicks | +6000 |
| Alex Smith | +6000 |
| Alshon Jeffery | +6000 |
| Bradley Chubb | +6000 |
| Antonio Brown | +6000 |
Odds for players +6000 or shorter.
A.J. Green (+600)Green is the third favorite behind Roethlisberger and J.J. Watt. While Green certainly has the talent to win the award, there are a couple of things working against him. The obvious issue is health, as Green played just nine games last season and 10 in 2017. He'll also likely be playing with a rookie quarterback in Joe Burrow. Green has just one 80-reception campaign since 2014, and even if Burrow has a strong rookie year, it will be difficult for him to reach that mark in 2020. Pass at +600.
Nick Foles (+600)Instead of taking Green at 6-1, consider Foles at the same price. It seems like the Bears and head coach Matt Nagy want anyone other than Mitchell Trubisky to start at quarterback, so Foles has the inside track to win the job.
Assuming he does, Foles enters a good situation in Chicago. The Bears are projected to have one of the NFL's top defenses, and the signal-caller has underrated weapons at his disposal in receivers Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller along with versatile running back Tarik Cohen. If the Bears recapture the NFC North title behind Foles, he'll be a strong contender for the award.
Myles Garrett (+1100)Garrett at 11-1 is the best bet on the board. He appeared on his way to a career season in 2019 before he was suspended for trying to knock Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph's head off with his helmet.
Another look at Myles Garrett smashing his own helmet into Mason Rudolph's head pic.twitter.com/Aq57iW5Ird
- NFL Update (@MySportsUpdate) November 15, 2019
Looking purely at the numbers, Garrett recorded 10 sacks in 10 games before the suspension. He was on pace to put up career highs in tackles, sacks, forced fumbles, and quarterback hits. New Browns defensive coordinator Steve Wilks will get the best out of Garrett, who should be motivated to rebuild his damaged reputation. Not only is Garrett a great bet at +1100 to win this award, he's worth a long look at +3300 to win Defensive Player of the Year as well.
Antonio Brown (+6000)Brown doesn't have a team and hasn't even been cleared to return to the NFL. Even with his off-field issues, however, you have to think a team may take a shot on the talented receiver at some point. As we saw in his one game with the New England Patriots last year, Brown can still produce. His problem is actually getting on the field and staying there. If a team like the Baltimore Ravens or Dallas Cowboys decide to pursue Brown, things could get interesting. He's worth a flier at 60-1.
Thomas Casale is theScore's supervising editor of sports betting. He's been following the sports betting industry for almost 30 years. A devoted fan of the wishbone offense, Thomas bets on all sports but specializes in college football, NFL, and college basketball. Find him on Twitter @TheTomCasale.
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