Article 51SP4 2019-20 NHL season betting review: Least profitable favorites

2019-20 NHL season betting review: Least profitable favorites

by
Alex Moretto
from on (#51SP4)
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Last week, we broke down the favorites that made bettors the most money this season, with the Philadelphia Flyers topping the charts.

Today, we'll look at the ones that simply didn't come through and made the biggest dent in betting profits.

Note: Profits listed for $100 bettor

1. Montreal Canadiens, -$1,617

The only team with a worse winning percentage as a favorite this year is the Detroit Red Wings, who are 0-1. The Canadiens are a paltry 15-20 (42.9%) when laying juice, dealing bettors an absolute beating with an inflated average line of -150.

Two factors that have absolutely killed the Canadiens are their records as home favorites (10-16, -$1,535) and against the Red Wings (0-4, -$800).

2. Nashville Predators, -$1,324

Despite spending the duration of the season out of a playoff spot, the Predators have been constantly overvalued by oddsmakers with an average line of -157 when favored. They're 25-25 as favorites, making them one of just eight teams with a winning percentage of 50 or lower in this spot.

However, all of the bleeding came with Peter Laviolette as head coach. The Predators were 13-17 (-$1,467) as favorites before he was fired on Jan. 6.

3. Washington Capitals, -$1,024

The Capitals came in at fifth on our list of most profitable underdogs, so it's not much of a surprise to see them here. When they were favored this season, it was often by a lot, as only two teams managed to top their average line of -173.

Washington actually had a winning record as the favorite, finishing 29-24, but having to consistently lay that much juice did bettors in.

4. Vegas Golden Knights, -$762

No team on this list has a better record as the favorite this campaign than the Golden Knights, who are 34-24 (58.6%). For Vegas, it's something of a tale of two seasons: the Golden Knights were 22-19 (-$1,081) as favorites under Gerard Gallant and 12-5 (+$319) under Peter DeBoer, who took over Jan. 15.

If the season resumes, Vegas might play itself off this list.

5. Anaheim Ducks, -$697

The Ducks have been favored less often than any other team on this list and are level with the Canadiens for the second-worst win percentage when laying juice (42.9%, 9-12).

Anaheim has lost bettors nearly $1,000 less than Montreal has, though, thanks to being favored in essentially half as many games. It's also been the beneficiary of an average line of just -129 as the favorite.

Alex Moretto is a sports betting writer for theScore. A journalism graduate from Guelph-Humber University, he has worked in sports media for over a decade. He will bet on anything from the Super Bowl to amateur soccer, is too impatient for futures, and will never trust a kicker. Find him on Twitter @alexjmoretto.

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