Lamar Jackson 2020 props: Can Ravens QB top 1K rushing yards again?
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Lamar Jackson is coming off a record-setting 2019 campaign that ended with NFL Most Valuable Player honors. Oddsmakers expect the Baltimore Ravens to be one of the league's top teams again this season, installing them as the second favorite to win the Super Bowl and setting their win total at 11.5.
Can Jackson build on last season's MVP performance, or is he in line for regression? We break down his 2020 player props to find out.
Passing yards| Over | Under |
|---|---|
| 3225.5 (-110) | 3225.5 (-110) |
Everyone knew how dangerous Jackson was as a runner, but he surprised many critics last season by completing 66.1% of his passes for 3,127 yards and 36 touchdowns. Oddsmakers have set his passing total 98 yards higher, but keep in mind that Jackson would have surpassed this number last year if he didn't sit out the regular-season finale against the Pittsburgh Steelers because the Ravens had the AFC's No. 1 seed wrapped up.
Also, keep in mind that Baltimore only trailed in the second half of three games all year. Playing the odds, the Ravens are likely to be in more tight contests where Jackson will be asked to throw the football.
Assuming he plays all 16 games, Jackson will need to average only 201.5 yards per contest to hit the over. That seems low considering Jackson averaged 208.4 yards last season and continues to improve as a passer. Go over this number.
Pick: Over
Rushing yards| Over | Under |
|---|---|
| 999.5 (-110) | 999.5 (-110) |
This is Jackson's most interesting prop. He shattered this total last season in setting a league record for rushing yards by a quarterback with 1,206. While he's certainly capable of becoming the first true QB in history to record consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns, it's still not likely. Jackson and Mike Vick (2006) are the only two signal-callers to top 1,000 in an NFL season. A quarterback has recorded 900-plus yards rushing just five times.
Jackson is a unique talent, so if any quarterback can put up another 1,000-yard campaign, it's him. However, the odds are against it. Look for him to come up just short this season.
Pick: Under
Passing touchdowns| Over | Under |
|---|---|
| 26.5 (-110) | 26.5 (-110) |
This total feels low after Jackson led the NFL with 36 touchdown passes last season. Oddsmakers are looking at 2019 as an anomaly, but the reality is Jackson continues to be underrated as a passer. Even if he regresses in this area, will his touchdown passes decline by 10? Probably not.
Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson has never thrown for more than 26 touchdown passes in a season, so this total is no gimmie. Still, the Ravens are loaded on offense, and head coach John Harbaugh isn't against running up the score with a big lead. Jackson will have plenty of opportunities to go over this number.
Pick: Over
Thomas Casale is theScore's supervising editor of sports betting. He's been following the sports betting industry for almost 30 years. A devoted fan of the wishbone offense, Thomas bets on all sports but specializes in college football, NFL, and college basketball. Find him on Twitter @TheTomCasale.
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