Bills 2020 player props: More scores in store for Singletary

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The Buffalo Bills are one of the most intriguing offenses heading into the 2020 season.

A year after making the playoffs with the No. 23 scoring offense, the unit should improve by leaps and bounds. Quarterback Josh Allen is entering Year 3, the receiving corps added Stefon Diggs, and the running game's coming off a season in which it ranked seventh in the league in yards per game.

Today, we'll dive into a couple of Bills-related player props for the 2020 season. Here are the best looks.

Devin Singletary O/U 5.5 total touchdowns

Over: -110
Under: -110

Frank Gore's presence in the Bills' backfield held Singletary back from hitting paydirt a few more times in 2019. Despite splitting carries evenly between the veteran and the rookie last season, Buffalo called Gore's number 18 times inside the 10-yard line against Singletary's three. It was a big reason why the latter was only one of three players in the NFL to record 180-plus touches but four or fewer touchdowns on the season.

Devin Singletary doesn't get a goal line touch after a dominant first two quarters, gore stuffed on 3 straight attempts. Winning football means winning playcalling. Still not happening in Buffalo consistently.

- All Things Orange (@AllThingsSU) November 3, 2019

After posting a couple of touchdowns both on the ground and through the air in his first season, the sky is the limit for Singletary. He'll be the lead back in Buffalo's offense, though he'll lend minor shares to T.J. Yeldon and rookie Zack Moss. The Bills are still very much a run-first unit despite owning one of the most underrated receiving corps in the league.

I currently have the Bills as my No. 16 scoring offense for 2020 and Singletary projected to account for 43.6 total points, or 7.26 touchdowns.

And that, my friends, is a green light to the over.

Pick: Over

Josh Allen O/U 3,275.5 yards

Over: -110
Under: -110

This one unfortunately isn't as easy.

Allen's passing-yards prop is my favorite on the board to dissect, considering the pros and cons.

I understand why bettors wouldn't want to take the over here. Buffalo ran the ball on 45.2% of its snaps last year, the seventh-highest share in football. If the Bills get out to more leads in 2020 and are consistently playing in a positive game script, it could suppress Allen's passing stats.

The other obvious red flag is Allen's deep ball. Last season, he ranked last in the league at completing passes of more than 20 yards through the air, while his 20% bad-throw rate was sixth-worst in the NFL. The Bills don't get too many shots through the air per game, so every yard becomes that much more crucial.

Now, let's talk about the pros.

Last season, the Bills' receiving corps had a drop rate of 7.2%. That was tops in football.

Bringing all you fantasy fans the #Bills content you crave this morning. Check out this beautiful teardrop pass from Josh Allen to Cole Beasley. The pass was dropped, but Allen had the 2nd-most accurate passing day of his career by Sport Radar catchable%. https://t.co/KgGkobByxo pic.twitter.com/ycfaScocpf

- Scott Spratt (@Scott_Spratt) September 10, 2019

Cole Beasley had six drops, five more than his 2019 total; rookie tight end Dawson Knox matched Beasley's clip; the Bills' top receiver, John Brown, also had five. Some of that could be on Allen - he's had a tough time taming his live arm - but I'd be surprised if the Bills paced the league in drop rate again.

Secondly, the addition of Diggs is huge. It might be an odd marriage on the surface - Diggs was No. 5 in yards per catch and Allen's had trouble connecting on deep throws - but I guarantee offensive coordinator Brian Daboll will find a way to get the new wide receiver around 75 touches.

Allen was close to the number in 2019, racking up 3,089 passing yards in a so-so campaign. If his supporting cast can cut the drops in half and the vertical passing game improves, Allen has the resources to shatter his 2020 total.

Pick: Over

Alex Kolodziej is a betting writer for theScore. He's a graduate of Eastern Illinois who has been involved in the sports betting industry for 12 years. He can quote every line from "Rounders" and appreciates franchises that regularly wear alternate jerseys. Find him on Twitter @AJKolodziej.

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