Eagles-49ers betting trends and player props

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This isn't quite the matchup we expected when the season started, is it? Injuries have decimated the 49ers (-7, 46), but they're still touchdown favorites against the Eagles, who have been easily the most disappointing team of the NFL season. Can they bounce back in this one?

Here are our favorite trends, props, and bets for Sunday night.

Betting trends

It's been a rough run for the Eagles, who are 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 contests, fifth worst among all teams over that stretch. They've dramatically underperformed through three games, as their average scoring margin ATS of 12.83 points is by far the worst in the league.

The 49ers struggled without Jimmy Garoppolo in the past, but they've won two straight in convincing fashion and are in a solid spot Sunday. San Francisco has covered three of its last four when giving a touchdown or more, and home favorites in that spot are 11-6-1 ATS since late 2016 when coming off consecutive 14-point wins or better.

Another interesting thing to consider is the potential emotional toll of the Eagles' tie against the Bengals last week. In the last 30 years, teams coming off a tie are 8-16 ATS with an average scoring margin of -7.58 points. Road underdogs are 2-6 ATS and 0-8 straight up in that spot, losing by an average of 17.88 points.

The over is also a compelling bet. The Niners are 10-6 to the over in prime time since 2017, while the Eagles are 13-5-3 to the over in their last 21 games as road 'dogs.

Player props

Carson Wentz under 232.5 passing yards (-112)

It's become trendy to bash Wentz, but it's also profitable. The Eagles quarterback threw for 225 yards last week through four quarters and a full overtime period, and he faces a 49ers defense that has allowed more than 232 passing yards just three times in 19 regular-season games since the start of 2019, with an average of 187.3 passing yards allowed per contest this year.

Injuries have weakened San Francisco's defense, but Philly's offense is snakebitten, too. Four linemen have been placed on injured reserve with Saturday's news that Jason Peters would join the list, thrusting third-year tackle Jordan Mailata - who's played 20 career snaps - into the starting role at left tackle. Wentz was already among the league's worst against pressure this year, and it could get even worse Sunday.

Jerick McKinnon over 79.5 yards from scrimmage (-112)

With Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman sidelined for the second straight game, McKinnon is in a position to shine. He logged 65 yards on 14 first-half touches last week but was slowed by an injury that limited him to six second-half touches for 12 yards.

He still finished with 77 total yards for the second consecutive game and faces an Eagles defense allowing 13.2 yards per catch to opposing running backs, third worst in the NFL. McKinnon shines as a receiver out of the backfield, and any primary back is worth betting on in Shanahan's offense, especially in a lopsided matchup like this one.

Best bet

49ers -7

The Eagles are a train wreck. Wentz is playing the worst football of his career, and a thin O-line will only exacerbate those issues against Robert Saleh's defense. Conversely, the 49ers have had no issue dominating with their B-squad, and there's little reason to think Philly will put up much more of a fight than the Jets or Giants. Lay the seven points before this line moves off a key number.

C Jackson Cowart is a betting writer for theScore. He's an award-winning journalist with stops at The Charlotte Observer, The San Diego Union-Tribune, The Times Herald-Record, and BetChicago. He's also a proud graduate of UNC-Chapel Hill, and his love of sweet tea is rivaled only by that of a juicy prop bet. Find him on Twitter @CJacksonCowart.

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