Washington-Philadelphia best bets

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The final prime-time game of the season is a big one as the Washington Football Team enters the home of the defending NFC East champions with the opportunity to win its first division title since 2015.

Here's how we're betting the game:

Alex Kolodziej

Under 43

Washington is quietly trending under of late, cashing four straight contests and each of the last eight on grass.

All the rotating quarterbacks under center and injuries along the rest of the offense have impacted the unit. Washington's combined for 28 points over the last two games and hasn't scored more than 23 since Nov. 26.

The Eagles have gone over the total in three straight contests with Jalen Hurts under center, but I hate this matchup for him. Washington is No. 2 in DVOA defense and has a ridiculous defensive line that can slow down Hurts, who's rushed 38 total times over the last three games. Keep the clock moving, please.

Philadelphia has hit 21 of the last 28 unders at home. Let's make it 22 of 29.

Alex Moretto

Terry McLaurin over 48.5 receiving yards (-115)

Making his long-awaited return to the lineup tonight - and not a second too soon - McLaurin will be heavily involved straight from the jump.

Washington's passing game will be competent for the first time in weeks with McLaurin healthy and Alex Smith back under center. The club is primed to exploit an Eagles secondary that's been victimized all season. Philadelphia has allowed 7.3 yards per pass play and a 68.67% completion percentage this year, both bottom-five marks in the NFL.

Those numbers have only gotten worse in recent weeks. The Eagles have allowed Andy Dalton and Kyler Murray to combine for 783 passing yards and six touchdowns over their last two games. Michael Gallup (121), Amari Cooper (121), CeeDee Lamb (65), and DeAndre Hopkins (169) all went over the paltry total of 48.5 set for McLaurin tonight.

Expect a monster night for the Washington wideout, with alternate overs looking quite enticing as well.

C Jackson Cowart

Washington -6

I played this earlier in the week when the number was shorter than 3, but I'm happy to play it here, too, especially now that it looks like Smith will suit up in a must-win spot for the NFC East leader.

Even before he was a likely start, I still favored Washington, which has the No. 2 defense per DVOA and one of the best front sevens in football. Hurts has shown flashes, but he's been sacked 12 times in just over three games of action and has struggled mightily as a passer when pressured.

It's an added bonus that Smith - who has led Washington to 26.8 points per game in his five starts - will likely be in action, looking for his first playoff appearance since leading the Chiefs in 2017. Sharps love Washington this week, and I do, too.

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