Article 5M98Y Fantasy: 12-team mock draft with analysis after every round

Fantasy: 12-team mock draft with analysis after every round

by
Justin Boone
from on (#5M98Y)
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theScore staff took part in a 12-team, 12-round mock to offer some insight on what to watch for in each round.

This is a PPR (point per reception) scoring league with the following roster spots: QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, FLEX, BN, BN, BN, BN. We omitted defenders and kickers, as they normally get selected in the final two rounds.

Draft participants: Mike Dickson, Dustin Saracini, Daniel Valente, Matt Washington, Jack Browne, Taylor Rohaly, Gino Bottero, Ian Dalley, Justin Boone, Alex Moretto, Caio Miari, C Jackson Cowart

Round 1
PickPlayerTeam
1Christian McCaffrey (RB1)Dickson
2Derrick Henry (RB2)Saracini
3Dalvin Cook (RB3)Valente
4Alvin Kamara (RB4)Washington
5Jonathan Taylor (RB5)Browne
6Saquon Barkley (RB6)Rohaly
7Ezekiel Elliott (RB7)Bottero
8Nick Chubb (RB8)Dalley
9Stefon Diggs (WR1)Boone
10Davante Adams (WR2)Moretto
11Travis Kelce (TE1)Miari
12Tyreek Hill (WR3)Cowart

Round 1: Very chalky opening round with running backs dominating early and a few pass catchers sneaking into the back half. Considering this is a PPR league, Derrick Henry was a bit of a reach at No. 2. Even during his 2,000-yard season, the Titans workhorse averaged 20.8 PPR fantasy points per game, well behind Christian McCaffrey (30.1), Alvin Kamara (25.2), and Dalvin Cook (24.1). It's unlikely Tennessee starts targeting the 27-year-old more at this point in his career, so it'll be a challenge for him to outpace the top-tier pass-catching backs.

Round 2
PickPlayerTeam
13Austin Ekeler (RB9)Cowart
14Aaron Jones (RB10)Miari
15Cam Akers (RB11)Moretto
16DeAndre Hopkins (WR4)Boone
17Calvin Ridley (WR5)Dalley
18D.K. Metcalf (WR6)Bottero
19Darren Waller (TE2)Rohaly
20Antonio Gibson (RB12)Browne
21A.J. Brown (WR7)Washington
22Najee Harris (RB13)Valente
23Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB14)Saracini
24Justin Jefferson (WR8)Dickson

Round 2: Not much to note from the second round, with the usual names going off the board and managers sticking fairly close to average draft position so far. Players like Antonio Gibson, Najee Harris, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire are particularly intriguing as late second-round selections. It wouldn't be surprising to see all three backs break out this season, vaulting them into first-round consideration for 2022 drafts.

Round 3
PickPlayerTeam
25Patrick Mahomes (QB1)Dickson
26Michael Thomas (WR9)Saracini
27George Kittle (TE3)Valente
28Joe Mixon (RB15)Washington
29Keenan Allen (WR10)Browne
30Terry McLaurin (WR11)Rohaly
31Miles Sanders (RB16)Bottero
32D'Andre Swift (RB17)Dalley
33Chris Carson (RB18)Boone
34J.K. Dobbins (RB19)Moretto
35David Montgomery (RB20)Miari
36Josh Jacobs (RB21)Cowart

Round 3: Team Dickson locks down football's best quarterback in Patrick Mahomes at the top of the third. While it's hard to argue against the former MVP's fantasy ceiling, he's not a value at this range of the draft. As we'll eventually see, other passers with QB1 overall upside like Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Kyler Murray are available two and even three rounds later. Avoid the temptation of taking a quarterback this high and focus on running backs, receivers, and maybe a tight end in the first three or four rounds.

Round 4
PickPlayerTeam
37Allen Robinson (WR12)Cowart
38Robert Woods (WR13)Miari
39CeeDee Lamb (WR14)Moretto
40Amari Cooper (WR15)Boone
41Chris Godwin (WR16)Dalley
42Mike Evans (WR17)Bottero
43Myles Gaskin (RB22)Rohaly
44Julio Jones (WR18)Browne
45Adam Thielen (WR19)Washington
46Ja'Marr Chase (WR20)Valente
47Odell Beckham Jr. (WR21)Saracini
48Kenny Golladay (WR22)Dickson

Round 4: Several different builds have begun to take shape through four rounds, but the rosters that include an elite tight end are particularly interesting. While there will be sleeper receivers still on the board later, it's hard to match the fantasy advantage that a premier tight end provides.

There are also a few risky picks that may end up looking like reaches here. Veteran wideouts Adam Thielen, Odell Beckham Jr., and Kenny Golladay might be living off name value more than actual production in 2021. Thielen has been touchdown-dependent, and regression will strike hard after his 14-TD campaign. Beckham is coming off an ACL tear and rejoins a Browns offense that hasn't given him the volume he enjoyed with the Giants. Golladay will have to fight with a crowded skill position group in New York in order to re-establish himself as a fantasy star. They aren't bad picks, but there are younger talents who are more deserving of this draft capital.

Round 5
PickPlayerTeam
49James Robinson (RB23)Dickson
50Kareem Hunt (RB24)Saracini
51Josh Allen (QB2)Valente
52Cooper Kupp (WR23)Washington
53Tyler Lockett (WR24)Browne
54D.J. Moore (WR25)Rohaly
55Mike Davis (RB25)Bottero
56Mark Andrews (TE4)Dalley
57Javonte Williams (RB26)Boone
58Brandon Aiyuk (WR26)Moretto
59Diontae Johnson (WR27)Miari
60Lamar Jackson (QB3)Cowart

Round 5: Some of those younger receivers referenced in the previous round can be found here in the fifth, with D.J. Moore, Brandon Aiyuk, and Diontae Johnson all having WR2 fantasy profiles and a chance to flirt with WR1 numbers if they take another step forward.

Even though the Jaguars' offense is a bit of an enigma at the moment, it's tough to justify taking James Robinson over Travis Etienne. Robinson had an incredible rookie season as an undrafted free agent, but Jacksonville spent a first-round pick on Etienne. Outside of injuries, there are very few paths for Robinson to re-emerge as the lead back. His best chance at fantasy stats might come as a member of what could be a frustrating committee in the Jags' backfield. I'd also take Javonte Williams, Mike Davis, and Chase Edmonds before him.

Round 6
PickPlayerTeam
61T.J. Hockenson (TE5)Cowart
62Raheem Mostert (RB27)Miari
63Kyler Murray (QB4)Moretto
64Kyle Pitts (TE6)Boone
65Travis Etienne (RB28)Dalley
66Chase Claypool (WR28)Bottero
67Chase Edmonds (RB29)Rohaly
68Dak Prescott (QB5)Browne
69Ronald Jones (RB30)Washington
70DeVonta Smith (WR29)Valente
71Russell Wilson (QB6)Saracini
72D.J. Chark Jr. (WR30)Dickson

Round 6: Kyle Pitts and T.J. Hockenson have the clearest opportunities to see the kind of volume that could challenge the top three tight ends. It helps that they are two of the most complete tight end prospects we've seen enter the league. If you miss out on Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, and George Kittle - Pitts and Hockenson are worth the high-end investment a few rounds later.

Round 7
PickPlayerTeam
73Dallas Goedert (TE7)Dickson
74Tee Higgins (WR31)Saracini
75Deebo Samuel (WR32)Valente
76JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR33)Washington
77Jerry Jeudy (WR34)Browne
78Courtland Sutton (WR35)Rohaly
79Melvin Gordon (RB31)Bottero
80Robby Anderson (WR36)Dalley
81Trey Sermon (RB32)Boone
82Michael Carter (RB33)Moretto
83Tyler Boyd (WR37)Miari
84Will Fuller (WR38)Cowart

Round 7: The further into the draft you get, the more you should be aiming for upside. Players like JuJu Smith-Schuster or Tyler Boyd may offer a nice floor, but their best-case outcomes (aside from injuries) can't rival those of Tee Higgins, Will Fuller, Jerry Jeudy, or Courtland Sutton. The same could be said for choosing a soon-to-be phased-out veteran in Melvin Gordon over rookie backs like Trey Sermon or Michael Carter. After the Broncos traded up to draft Javonte Williams, Gordon might need a new team to return seventh-round fantasy value.

Round 8
PickPlayerTeam
85Damien Harris (RB34)Cowart
86Jarvis Landry (WR39)Miari
87Michael Pittman Jr. (WR40)Moretto
88Curtis Samuel (WR41)Boone
89Aaron Rodgers (QB7)Dalley
90Brandin Cooks (WR42)Bottero
91Zack Moss (RB35)Rohaly
92Noah Fant (TE8)Browne
93Matthew Stafford (QB8)Washington
94James Conner (RB36)Valente
95Logan Thomas (TE9)Saracini
96Leonard Fournette (RB37)Dickson

Round 8: Checking in on my roster - I followed a veteran-filled first few rounds with some high-upside rookies. The safety provided by Stefon Diggs, DeAndre Hopkins, Chris Carson, and Amari Cooper allowed me to take shots on unproven rookies like Williams, Pitts, and Sermon, who possess the kind of talent that could turn my team into a juggernaut if everything falls the right way.

Curtis Samuel doesn't fall into either category. Instead, he presented value as the 41st receiver off the board and someone who's spent most of the last three years inside the top 30 fantasy wideouts. Beat writers seem convinced Samuel and teammate Terry McLaurin will each see north of 100 targets this season. And Ryan Fitzpatrick might be the best passer Samuel has played with since injuries started Cam Newton's decline.

Round 9
PickPlayerTeam
97Jaylen Waddle (WR43)Dickson
98Antonio Brown (WR44)Saracini
99Laviska Shenault Jr. (WR45)Valente
100Jamaal Williams (RB38)Washington
101Nyheim Hines (RB39)Browne
102Marquise Brown (WR46)Rohaly
103AJ Dillon (RB40)Bottero
104Corey Davis (WR47)Dalley
105Mike Williams (WR48)Boone
106Irv Smith Jr. (TE10)Moretto
107DeVante Parker (WR49)Miari
108Mike Gesicki (TE11)Cowart

Round 9: Though my receiver-heavy start left me a little exposed at running back, I have faith that at least one of the rookies I selected in the middle should help fill my RB2 hole. That enables me to continue chasing value like Mike Williams. The Chargers are talking Williams up as the new X receiver in offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi's scheme. That's notable since it's the same spot Michael Thomas was deployed out of during their time together in New Orleans. Keenan Allen is still the favorite to lead the team in targets, but it's evident the new coaching staff wants to give Williams as much as he can handle. Even with a 1,000-yard season and a 10-touchdown campaign already on his resume, we could see a career year from the 26-year-old.

Round 10
PickPlayerTeam
109Darnell Mooney (WR50)Cowart
110Justin Herbert (QB9)Miari
111Darrell Henderson (RB41)Moretto
112Tony Pollard (RB42)Boone
113Devin Singletary (RB43)Dalley
114Michael Gallup (WR51)Bottero
115Kenyan Drake (RB44)Rohaly
116David Johnson (RB45)Browne
117Mecole Hardman (WR52)Washington
118Marvin Jones Jr. (WR53)Valente
119Jonnu Smith (TE12)Saracini
120Nelson Agholor (WR54)Dickson

Round 10: Let the spree of high-upside backup running backs begin. Darrell Henderson, Tony Pollard, and Devin Singletary are some of the first to be chosen - each offering top-20 fantasy potential if their respective starter goes down with an injury.

Michael Gallup and Mecole Hardman are also smart selections in this area of the draft as highly skilled wideouts attached to superstar quarterbacks. All they need is volume.

Round 11
PickPlayerTeam
121Latavius Murray (RB46)Dickson
122Alexander Mattison (RB47)Saracini
123T.Y. Hilton (WR55)Valente
124Elijah Moore (WR56)Washington
125Jalen Hurts (QB10)Browne
126Joe Burrow (QB11)Rohaly
127Rob Gronkowski (TE13)Bottero
128Russell Gage (WR57)Dalley
129Henry Ruggs III (WR58)Boone
130Kenneth Gainwell (RB48)Moretto
131J.D. McKissic (RB49)Miari
132Rashod Bateman (WR59)Cowart

Round 11: Team Browne is the first to take a second quarterback - a move that we'd advise against after he took Dak Prescott in Round 6. With all signs pointing to Prescott being healthy for Week 1, there's no need to use another roster spot on a passer. If the goal is to eventually deal Jalen Hurts, just know that finding a trade partner in a 12-team single-QB league can be more difficult than managers may believe. You're better off using the pick on another depth running back or receiver instead.

Round 12
PickPlayerTeam
133Sony Michel (RB50)Cowart
134Gabriel Davis (WR60)Miari
135Parris Campbell (WR61)Moretto
136Tom Brady (QB12)Boone
137Cole Beasley (WR62)Dalley
138Ryan Tannehill (QB13)Bottero
139Gus Edwards (RB51)Rohaly
140Hunter Henry (TE14)Browne
141Robert Tonyan (TE15)Washington
142Matt Ryan (QB14)Valente
143A.J. Green (WR63)Saracini
144Evan Engram (TE16)Dickson

Round 12: As I surveyed the entire draft while keeping roster construction in mind, it became apparent that teams that were picking quarterbacks and lottery-ticket running backs in the final rounds were in a much better spot. The odds of a late-round receiver or tight end attaining high-end production are much lower than someone like Ryan Tannehill or Tom Brady, who finished as the QB7 and QB8 last season, respectively. And the injuries and turnover at running back are what continues to turn those backup ball carriers into wise investments.

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