New Doherty modelling advises ‘medium’ Covid restrictions until Australia reaches 80% vaccination

Exclusive: Summary of sensitivity analysis to be presented at national cabinet says pandemic will continue to be a fire fought on multiple fronts'

• Follow our Australia Covid blog
• Vic restrictions; Vic hotspots; NSW restrictions; border restrictions
• Covid vaccine rollout and rates tracker; Cases, trends and data tracker
• Get our free news app; get our morning email briefing

New Doherty Institute modelling presented to national cabinet warns that maintaining medium" public health and social measures would be prudent" until Australia reaches 80% vaccination if caseloads are high - with medium" measures previously defined as including stay-at-home orders except for work, study and other essential purposes.

The institute - which conducted the modelling informing Australia's four-phase reopening plan - has updated its work after a dispute erupted within the federation about whether or not it was safe to ease restrictions once 70% of Australians over the age of 16 were vaccinated.