NHL Friday player props: 3 shooters to target
Thursday was a good night for shot props. Dougie Hamilton breezed past his over, registering five shots on goal in his return to the lineup. Following a slow start, Mathew Barzal came on late and ended up with four shots in his plus matchup against the Sharks.
We'll aim for similar results Friday as we look to kick off the weekend with another winning effort.
Alex Tuch over 3.5 shots (+100)It's a day that ends with "y," which means we're backing Tuch. It's impossible not to with the volume he's generating on a nightly basis.
Tuch has registered at least four shots on goal in nine of the last 11 games, good for an 82% hit rate.
The Blues are a solid hockey team, but certainly not one we have to avoid targeting. Believe it or not, they rank 25th in five-on-five shots allowed per 60 this season. That puts them just ahead of teams like the Red Wings, Senators, and Coyotes. Their goaltenders see plenty of rubber.
Only three players have piled up more shots on target than Tuch over the last 11 games, so I'm confident he'll enjoy success against this Blues team.
Seth Jones over 2.5 shots (+105)Jones is one of the many players who's significantly more productive on home soil. He averages 2.95 shots on goal in Chicago this season compared to 2.28 on the road. That's a stark contrast.
What's especially enticing about Jones tonight - beyond getting an attractive price to hit his average - is the matchup. The Devils give up a lot to opposing defenders.
They have conceded 9.82 shots per game to defensemen this season, fourth-worst in the NHL. They've also given up as many goals as any other team.
Offensive defenders are routinely more involved against New Jersey. I expect that to be the case with Jones in this game.
Jakob Chychrun over 2.5 shots (-125)Chychrun has averaged 3.4 shots on goal in Arizona this season. He's gone over the number (2.5 shots) in 12 of 18 tries, good for a 67% success rate.
His average shot total drops to 2.7 on the road. Unsurprisingly, his hit rate is also much lower, registering three shots or more just 10 times through 22 games (45%).
Simply put, Chychrun is generally overpriced on the road and underpriced at home. It just so happens Friday night's game is in Arizona.
While the Golden Knights are a very good side in terms of limiting volume to defensemen, Chychrun went over 2.5 in their only meeting this season.
He has also been very successful historically against Vegas, registering three shots or more in five of his last six against the Golden Knights.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.
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