NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds: Don't sleep on Tyreek Hill in Miami
The NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award used to be just another trophy to add to the MVP's mantle, but that hasn't been the case in recent years. Four of the last five MVP winners weren't named OPOY, an award that tends to recognize spectacular (and often historic) statistical accomplishments for skill position stars.
Last year's winner, Cooper Kupp, captured the fourth receiving triple crown in NFL history with 145 catches for 1,947 yards and 16 touchdowns - coming just shy of single-season records in the first two stats. He's the co-favorite to win it in the 2022 season, alongside last year's runner-up, Jonathan Taylor. Will it take another historic season to claim this year's award?
Here are the odds to win the 2022 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award at Barstool Sportsbook (100-1 or shorter), along with three of our favorite value plays ahead of training camps:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Cooper Kupp | +800 |
| Jonathan Taylor | +800 |
| Derrick Henry | +900 |
| Davante Adams | +1400 |
| Deebo Samuel | +1400 |
| Josh Allen | +2000 |
| Nick Chubb | +2000 |
| Christian McCaffrey | +2000 |
| Dalvin Cook | +2200 |
| Lamar Jackson | +2200 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +2200 |
| Justin Herbert | +2500 |
| Justin Jefferson | +2500 |
| Joe Burrow | +2800 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +2800 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +3000 |
| Kyler Murray | +3000 |
| Aaron Jones | +3300 |
| Travis Kelce | +3300 |
| Deshaun Watson | +3300 |
| Derek Carr | +4000 |
| Jalen Hurts | +4000 |
| Trey Lance | +4000 |
| Dak Prescott | +4000 |
| Matthew Stafford | +4000 |
| Russell Wilson | +4000 |
| Stefon Diggs | +4500 |
| George Kittle | +4500 |
| Tyreek Hill | +5000 |
| CeeDee Lamb | +5000 |
| Austin Ekeler | +6000 |
| Alvin Kamara | +6000 |
| D'Andre Swift | +6000 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +6000 |
| Jaylen Waddle | +6000 |
| Javonte Williams | +6000 |
| Cam Akers | +6600 |
| Keenan Allen | +6600 |
| Ezekiel Elliott | +6600 |
| Antonio Gibson | +6600 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | +6600 |
| Mac Jones | +6600 |
| Elijah Mitchell | +6600 |
| Joe Mixon | +6600 |
| Hunter Renfrow | +6600 |
| Allen Robinson | +6600 |
| Michael Thomas | +6600 |
| Mark Andrews | +7500 |
| Saquon Barkley | +7500 |
| Najee Harris | +7500 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +7500 |
| A.J. Brown | +8000 |
| James Conner | +8000 |
| J.K. Dobbins | +8000 |
| Justin Fields | +8000 |
| Michael Pittman | +8000 |
| Matt Ryan | +8000 |
| Jameis Winston | +8000 |
| Marquise Brown | +10000 |
| Amari Cooper | +10000 |
| Kirk Cousins | +10000 |
| Mike Evans | +10000 |
| Leonard Fournette | +10000 |
| Damien Harris | +10000 |
| Tee Higgins | +10000 |
| Josh Jacobs | +10000 |
| Diontae Johnson | +10000 |
| Daniel Jones | +10000 |
| Allen Lazard | +10000 |
| Terry McLaurin | +10000 |
| DK Metcalf | +10000 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | +10000 |
| Kyle Pitts | +10000 |
| Miles Sanders | +10000 |
| Darren Waller | +10000 |
| Mike Williams | +10000 |
You can make the case that Henry would've won this award last year if not for the foot injury in Week 8 that sidelined him for the second half of the season. The Titans' star rusher was on pace for 1,991 yards and 21 touchdowns - both of which would've easily topped the league.
Henry led the league in both categories in 2019 and 2020, winning OPOY in the latter. Tennessee will once again rely on him to be the central figure of its offense, especially after it traded away star wideout A.J. Brown in April.
Health will always be a concern for someone coming off a serious injury, but if Henry were fully healthy, he'd likely be the favorite. Buy the dip on the most surefire bet to produce a monstrous stat line by season's end.
Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens (+2200)During Jackson's 2019 MVP season, Michael Thomas seized OPOY behind a record-setting 149 receptions. But what if no one makes history this year?
That would open the door for the Ravens quarterback, who we highlighted on Tuesday as one of the hottest names in the MVP market. Jackson missed five games last year but set a career high in passing yards per game (240.2), and he's just three years removed from torching opposing defenses with a combined 4,333 yards and 43 touchdowns en route to only the second unanimous MVP award in NFL history.
Jackson's dual-threat contributions make him a particularly compelling candidate for this award, especially if he can close in on the all-time rushing record for a QB - which he set in 2019 (1,206). If you like his MVP chances, as we do, it's worth sprinkling a few bucks in this market, as well.
Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins (+5000)So let me get this straight: 49ers receiver Deebo Samuel is dealing at 14-1 odds to win this award, but Hill - whose new coach, Mike McDaniel, helped turn Samuel into a star in San Francisco - is a 50-1 long shot?
There's no doubt Samuel's natural talent aided his ascent to stardom, but McDaniel was the one who unlocked his versatility and turned him from an effective but unremarkable wideout into a dual-threat star. Now he'll have the fastest receiver in NFL history at his disposal - one who already has four 1,000-yard seasons under his belt and was scarcely used as a rusher out of the backfield in Kansas City.
There are still doubts about whether quarterback Tua Tagovailoa's arm strength is sufficient to feed Hill downfield, but the Dolphins speedster is just as lethal in the open field as he is on a go-route, and his resume as a receiver alone deserves more respect than this. With players of Hill's ilk dealing at much shorter odds, there's no excuse to be hanging a 50-1 price on the three-time All-Pro receiver.
C Jackson Cowart is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on Twitter (@CJacksonCowart) or email him at cjackson.cowart@thescore.com.
Copyright (C) 2022 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.