Which teams have seen biggest movement in Super Bowl odds?
It's been five months since the Super Bowl odds were first released for the 2022 season, and the market has predictably changed quite a bit since then. Nearly all of it has been related to a flurry of quarterback movement - including a GOAT walking away and subsequently returning to the league and a handful of blockbuster moves for the NFL's top signal-callers.
So, with just over a month left before the season starts, here's a look at the latest Super Bowl odds and which teams have seen the biggest movement since February:
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +650 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +750 |
| Green Bay Packers | +1000 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +1000 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +1100 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +1500 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1600 |
| Denver Broncos | +1700 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1800 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +1800 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2200 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +2200 |
| Cleveland Browns | +3000 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +3000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +3500 |
| Tennessee Titans | +3500 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +4000 |
| Miami Dolphins | +4000 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +4000 |
| New England Patriots | +4000 |
| New Orleans Saints | +4500 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +8000 |
| Washington Commanders | +8000 |
| New York Giants | +10000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +12500 |
| Chicago Bears | +12500 |
| Detroit Lions | +12500 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +12500 |
| New York Jets | +15000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +15000 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +20000 |
| Houston Texans | +30000 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+750)
When the greatest quarterback of all time decides to re-join your team, the betting market is sure to take notice. So it should come as no surprise to see the Buccaneers top this list after Tom Brady retired and un-retired in the span of a few weeks.
His return was a shock to oddsmakers, who had priced Tampa Bay as high as 40-1 at theScore Bet before news broke of Brady's decision. With the MVP runner-up back in the saddle, the Bucs are favored to win the NFC and return to the Super Bowl for the second time in three seasons.
Denver Broncos (+1700)
It may not feel like a dramatic leap for the Broncos, who were dealing at 22-1 when we broke down the early odds back in February, but that price baked in an assumption that Denver would land a star quarterback this spring. Sure enough, they pulled off a mega-deal for Seahawks star Russell Wilson in a move that clearly vaults this team into the NFL's elite.
The early excitement had the Broncos dealing closer to 12-1 after the trade, so the market has cooled a bit on this group since then amid the crowded AFC West. Still, few teams have had a better offseason than Denver, and the market certainly reflects that.
Indianapolis Colts (+2200)
It wasn't as splashy as the moves by the Bucs and Broncos, but the Colts improved at the quarterback spot, too - adding former MVP Matt Ryan after sending Carson Wentz to the Commanders in a prior move.
Indianapolis found success riding a veteran QB in Philip Rivers a few years ago, and Ryan appears better equipped to succeed from the get-go than Rivers or Wentz. There are still some questions about this Colts roster after the team missed the playoffs a year ago, but steady play under center should do wonders for a group that's teased Super Bowl potential for years.
Biggest fallersTennessee Titans (+3500)
The Titans are the only team on this list who didn't ship their longtime veteran quarterback to another team this offseason. Instead, they traded away Ryan Tannehill's top wideout in a move that will save money down the line but hinders the offense in the short term.
That move is a key reason why Tennessee's title price has nearly doubled since February. Make no mistake, this offense still runs through Derrick Henry, though the receiving room looks a little bare without A.J. Brown leading the way. The Titans were the No. 1 seed in the AFC a year ago, but bettors simply aren't buying their title chances for 2022.
Seattle Seahawks (+15000)
What happens when you trade one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL for a package built around draft capital? Unsurprisingly, you drop from the ranks of title contenders to one of the biggest long shots.
The Seahawks were 33-1 in late February, which was influenced in part by a growing belief that Wilson's days in Seattle were numbered. Sure enough, the team jettisoned Wilson and longtime star linebacker Bobby Wagner to accelerate a full rebuild in the Emerald City.
Atlanta Falcons (+20000)
While the Seahawks' title price fell from greater heights, no team saw a more dramatic drop on the oddsboard than the Falcons, who were dealing at 50-1 in February and saw their price peak slightly into March with rumors swirling about their interest in Deshaun Watson.
Instead, they struck out on Watson and dealt Ryan to the Colts to signal the start of a long-needed rebuild in Atlanta. The team doubled down by signing Marcus Mariota to a short deal and opting not to draft a quarterback in the first round - all but assuring this team will watch the playoffs from home this year.
C Jackson Cowart is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on Twitter (@CJacksonCowart) or email him at cjackson.cowart@thescore.com.
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