Do the latest legal woes spell the end for Donald Trump? | First Thing

New York civil lawsuit accusing Trump family of staggering' fraud could derail presidential bid, experts say. Plus, the case for a marriage sabbatical'

• Don't already get First Thing in your inbox? Sign up here

Good morning.

Donald Trump's legal perils have become insurmountable and could snuff out the former US president's hopes of an election-winning comeback, according to political analysts and legal experts.

What do the experts say? He's done," said Allan Lichtman, a history professor at American University in Washington, who has accurately predicted every presidential election since 1984. He's got too many burdens, too much baggage to be able to run again even presuming he escapes jail, he escapes bankruptcy. I'm not sure he's going to escape jail."

Could the New York civil fraud suit bring down the Trump Organization? Restrictions sought by Letitia James include bans on Trump and his children that would tear his real estate empire from his control, writes Hugo Lowell.

Why is Putin planning partial mobilization? The UK's defense ministry says Russia needs the manpower to continue its fight. The move is [in effect] an admission that Russia has exhausted its supply of willing volunteers to fight in Ukraine," its daily intelligence briefing said today.