Article 66E4B Fantasy: Start, Sit, Stash, Quit - Week 13

Fantasy: Start, Sit, Stash, Quit - Week 13

by
Justin Boone
from on (#66E4B)

SSSQ is a weekly look at underappreciated fantasy players to consider starting and potential busts you should leave on your bench. We also identify breakout candidates to stash on your roster and players you can safely cut.

For the rest of your lineup decisions, consult our Week 13 rankings, or you can also listen to the Week 13 preview episode of theScore Fantasy Football Podcast.

StartTrevor Lawrence, Jaguars

at Lions

cropped_GettyImages-1244578207.jpg?ts=16 Icon Sportswire / Icon Sportswire / Getty

Lawrence has quietly improved during his sophomore campaign, and fantasy managers should take notice.

Over his last six games, the former first-round pick was a fantasy QB1 five times and managed four top-six finishes.

Now he gets to face a Lions defense that's allowed the most fantasy points to opposing passers this season, which should result in another strong performance.

Boone's projection: 281 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 37 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD

Other QBs to start

  • Jimmy Garoppolo vs. Dolphins
  • Jared Goff vs. Jaguars
Jaylen Warren, Steelers

at Falcons

cropped_GettyImages-1242791821.jpg?ts=16 Joe Sargent / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Najee Harris wasn't able to practice Wednesday or Thursday due to an oblique injury, casting doubt over his status for Sunday's game against the Falcons.

Fortunately for the Steelers, Warren managed to get back on the practice field after missing Monday's contest with a hamstring issue.

Prior to getting hurt, Warren's snaps and touches were on the rise. The undrafted free agent posted 75 yards from scrimmage on nine touches in Week 3, including three receptions. Then he came back after the bye in Week 10 and turned 12 opportunities into 77 yards and another three grabs.

The 24-year-old is the clear favorite to serve as Pittsburgh's lead back with Harris banged up - and the Week 13 matchup is outstanding. Atlanta is the 10th easiest opponent for fantasy running backs and it's given up a top-12 RB performance in six consecutive games.

Warren is an intriguing low-end RB2 for however long Harris is sidelined.

Boone's projection: 83 rushing yards, 41 receiving yards, 3 receptions, TD

Other RBs to start

  • David Montgomery vs. Packers
  • Isiah Pacheco at Bengals
  • Brian Robinson Jr. at Giants
Garrett Wilson, Jets

at Vikings

cropped_GettyImages-1425965281.jpg?ts=16 Diamond Images / Diamond Images / Getty

Wilson gave fantasy managers a glimpse of his abilities early in the season with 214 yards and two touchdowns over his first three NFL games.

His production hit a lull when Zach Wilson returned to the lineup, but ultimately, nothing could stop the wide receiver's emergence as a star. Garrett Wilson exceeded 90 yards in three of his past four appearances, and the recent switch to Mike White at quarterback should provide more consistent stat lines.

Coming off his second multi-score outing, Wilson gets to take on a Vikings pass defense that's the fifth-most friendly unit to fantasy wideouts. It's not hyperbole to suggest the Jets' first-rounder could be a top-15 receiver the rest of the way.

Boone's projection: 106 receiving yards, 7 receptions, TD

Other WRs to start

  • Brandon Aiyuk vs. Dolphins
  • Christian Watson at Bears
  • George Pickens at Falcons
Foster Moreau, Raiders

vs. Chargers

cropped_GettyImages-1441264218.jpg?ts=16 Sam Morris / Getty Images Sport / Getty

Finding a fantasy tight end outside of the top five or six players at the position can be a challenge.

Moreau is worth a look this week in what should be a high-scoring affair between the Raiders and Chargers based on the game's projected point total of 50.5.

He's gone over 30 yards in five straight contests and found the end zone in two of his last three. That's enough to earn him low-end TE1 status in fantasy these days.

With the Chargers focused on slowing down Davante Adams, Moreau should see an uptick in targets and receptions. His teammate Darren Waller had four catches for 79 yards when these two teams met in the season opener.

Boone's projection: 67 receiving yards, 6 receptions, TD

Other TEs to start

  • Cole Kmet vs. Packers (if Justin Fields plays)
  • Evan Engram at Lions
SitKirk Cousins, Vikings

vs. Jets

cropped_GettyImages-1444320505.jpg?ts=16 David Berding / Getty Images Sport / Getty

It's no surprise that Cousins' two worst games of the season came against his two toughest opponents - the Cowboys and Eagles. He was held under 10 fantasy points in both contests.

The Jets present a similar problem as one the league's best defenses. New York is ranked in the top five of Football Outsiders' pass defense DVOA and allows the seventh-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks on the year.

Cousins has the skill position talent to overcome any matchup, but this isn't the week to force him into your lineup.

Boone's projection: 234 passing yards, TD, INT

Other QBs to sit

  • Marcus Mariota vs. Steelers
  • Ryan Tannehill at Eagles
Latavius Murray, Broncos

at Ravens

cropped_GettyImages-1443432129.jpg?ts=16 Michael Owens / Getty Images Sport / Getty

As long as he stays healthy, Murray will continue to have fantasy value down the stretch, but there are a couple things working against him this week.

Mike Boone is back at practice and could be activated off injured reserve. As we saw earlier in the year, Boone is a capable complementary back who could siphon touches and targets away from Murray.

Murray will also face a healthy Ravens defense that's started to find its rhythm against the run. Baltimore hasn't let a running back eclipse 30 rushing yards since Week 7.

Treat Murray as a touchdown-or-bust flex play in Week 13.

Boone's projection: 38 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1 reception

Other RBs to sit

  • Leonard Fournette vs. Saints
  • Antonio Gibson at Giants
  • Tyler Allgeier vs. Steelers
Brandin Cooks, Texans

vs. Browns

cropped_GettyImages-1243681395.jpg?ts=16 Icon Sportswire / Icon Sportswire / Getty

Cooks was held under 60 yards in seven of his outings this season and has yet to top 90 yards in a single appearance.

With that kind of limited yardage and just one touchdown to his name, it's not even shocking that he's the WR51 in average fantasy points per game.

Cooks has also begun to get out-targeted by teammate Nico Collins, a development that's occurred over the last three contests by a wide margin (28-18).

Maybe you feel more confident in the Texans' ability to put up garbage-time production as seven-point underdogs at home against the Browns, but there are likely better options you can turn to at receiver this week.

Boone's projection: 45 receiving yards, 4 receptions

Other WRs to sit

  • Adam Thielen vs. Jets
  • Tyler Boyd vs. Chiefs
  • Curtis Samuel at Giants
Injuries at tight endcropped_GettyImages-1335285905.jpg?ts=16 Mitchell Leff / Getty Images Sport / Getty

It seems foolish to recommend sitting any tight end this week given all the injuries to top players at the position, like Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz, Kyle Pitts, and Waller.

While Hayden Hurst, Juwan Johnson, and Robert Tonyan aren't in ideal spots, some fantasy managers will have no choice but to use them as streamers in Week 13.

StashBackup running backscropped_GettyImages-1426436612.jpg?ts=16 Chris Unger / Getty Images Sport / Getty

With the fantasy playoffs almost here, it's more important than ever to load your bench up with high-upside backup running backs.

Here's a list of ball carriers who are rostered in 10% of leagues or less and are one injury away from having a significant fantasy impact down the stretch:

  • Tyrion Davis-Price, 49ers (4% rostered)
  • Joshua Kelley, Chargers (3% rostered)
  • Zamir White, Raiders (4% rostered)
  • Keaontay Ingram, Cardinals (1% rostered)
  • Mike Boone, Broncos (5% rostered)
Quitcropped_GettyImages-1235680883.jpg?ts=16 Icon Sportswire / Icon Sportswire / Getty

Quarterbacks (1QB): Russell Wilson, Matthew Stafford

Running backs: Damien Harris, Kenyan Drake, Cam Akers

Wide receivers: Cooper Kupp, Curtis Samuel, Devin Duvernay

Tight ends: Kyle Pitts, Mike Gesicki

Copyright (C) 2022 Score Media Ventures Inc. All rights reserved. Certain content reproduced under license.

External Content
Source RSS or Atom Feed
Feed Location http://feeds.thescore.com/nfl.rss
Feed Title
Feed Link http://feeds.thescore.com/
Reply 0 comments