NHL Friday player props: Stutzle to fire away at home
Thursday night was a good one for our shot props. We won two of the three plays given out, with Alex Pietrangelo - who missed the net on seven different attempts - falling one shot shy of giving us a perfect night.
Let's dive into three players worth backing as we look to put the finishing touches on another successful week of props.
Tim Stutzle over 2.5 shots (-132)Stutzle is on a nice shooting run, especially at home. He's gone over his shot total in six of the last nine games in Ottawa and averaged more than six attempts per contest in that span. That's a pretty healthy increase from his season average of 5.3.
Part of the reason we've seen a spike is Mathieu Joseph's recent promotion to the Senators' top line. Joseph is very pass-happy and defers to Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk a lot more than Drake Batherson did.
That's a positive for Stutzle. So, too, is a dream matchup against the Blackhawks. They've given up a ton of volume to opposing centers as one of the league's worst defensive teams all season long. Only four sides have allowed more shots per game to the position.
With Stutzle likely to play 20-plus minutes in an advantageous spot, he should be able to find success once again.
Evander Kane over 3.5 shots (+120)Kane has some of the most extreme home/road splits you'll see, and they've become even more drastic of late.
Over the last 10 home games, Kane has averaged a whopping 7.9 shot attempts per game. That's top-tier volume.
His road production over the last 10 road contests doesn't hold a candle, with Kane generating only 4.9 attempts.
Considering how much more efficient Kane has been in Edmonton, it probably won't come as a surprise that his success rate at home (69%) is significantly higher than on the road (20%).
Kane should have every opportunity to shoot the puck in this one. The Rangers, while a strong defensive team, have been conceding a lot of shots to left wingers of late.
Given Kane's home success, and that he should be leaned on heavily in a marquee matchup, I think getting plus money is very generous.
Kevin Fiala over 3.5 shots (-110)The Ducks continue to be the team to target for shots. They give them up in bulk on a nightly basis regardless of the opponent.
There's no reason to expect any different Friday night against Los Angeles. The Kings are a strong five-on-five side that ranks in the top 10 in shot generation. Their game is built on dominating time of possession and wearing teams down defensively. Doing so against this Ducks side shouldn't be a problem.
While Fiala is a more productive player at home, he should be front and center in Los Angeles' shot dominance.
Fiala leads the Kings in shots on goal and scoring chances this season. Nobody on the roster possesses a higher floor or ceiling when it comes to shooting the puck.
That was evident the last time these two sides met, as Fiala generated seven shots on nine attempts in a winning effort. I expect more of the same this time around.
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. Be sure to follow him on Twitter @ToddCordell.
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