NFL league leaders betting: Who will top the 3 offensive yards categories?
The 2023 NFL season is already halfway done. There's no better time to take a look at the odds for league leaders in passing yards, rushing yards, and receiving yards to see which players have the best chance at finishing at the top in the three categories.
Most Passing Yards| Player | Odds | Current Pass Yds. |
|---|---|---|
| Tua Tagovailoa | +225 | 2609 |
| Patrick Mahomes | +260 | 2442 |
| Josh Allen | +700 | 2423 |
| Jared Goff | +1000 | 2174 |
| Justin Herbert | +1200 | 2026 |
| Jalen Hurts | +1400 | 2347 |
| Sam Howell | +1400 | 2471 |
| C.J. Stroud | +1600 | 2270 |
| Joe Burrow | +2500 | 1861 |
| Matthew Stafford | +2500 | 2070 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +2500 | 1935 |
| Dak Prescott | +3000 | 2011 |
| Brock Purdy | +4000 | 2033 |
| Derek Carr | +4000 | 2121 |
Odds via theScore Bet. Players priced +5000 and above are not listed.
The Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa leads the NFL in passing yards and is the betting favorite to remain there through Week 18. Tagovailoa got off to a blistering start with 466 yards through the air in Week 1 and didn't look back. He's remained ahead of Patrick Mahomes and Co. since, but the gap is shrinking.
Mahomes led the NFL in passing yards last year with 5,250 and could easily chase down Tagovailoa with a couple of big games. Both the Chiefs and Dolphins are on bye in Week 10, so they will be giving players such as Josh Allen a chance to catch up.
From a betting perspective, Sam Howell at +1400 is an intriguing option since the Commanders are clearly committed to throwing the ball a ton. Howell has attempted 40 or more passes in six of his past seven games and leads the NFL in attempts by 19.
Howell trails only Tagovailoa in passing yards, and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy is showing no signs of reining in his quarterback . The Commanders' defense got weaker at the trade deadline as well, which means Howell could find himself in a lot of shootout-style games.
Most Rushing Yards| Player | Odds | Current Rush Yds. |
|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | +250 | 652 |
| D'Andre Swift | +800 | 614 |
| Derrick Henry | +800 | 601 |
| Travis Etienne | +800 | 583 |
| Raheem Mostert | +900 | 605 |
| Bijan Robinson | +1500 | 517 |
| Breece Hall | +1500 | 493 |
| Kenneth Walker III | +1500 | 532 |
| Zack Moss | +1500 | 615 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +2200 | 525 |
| James Cook | +2500 | 506 |
| Joe Mixon | +2500 | 490 |
| Josh Jacobs | +2500 | 506 |
| Saquon Barkley | +2500 | 502 |
| Tony Pollard | +2500 | 474 |
| Gus Edwards | +4000 | 478 |
Odds via theScore Bet. Players priced +5000 and above are not listed.
Christian McCaffrey is the deserving favorite to lead the league in rushing. He currently holds a 37-yard edge over Zack Moss, who is slowly losing playing time to Jonathan Taylor, and a 36-yard lead over D'Andre Swift, who is on bye in Week 10.
However, McCaffrey's production on the ground over his past four games doesn't compare to that of his first four. In Weeks 1-4, McCaffrey amassed 459 rushing yards, but he has only added 193 since. Yes, All-Pro tackle Trent Williams missed the last two games, but the 49ers as a whole haven't looked like themselves and are losers of three straight. Perhaps a bye week is exactly what McCaffrey needs to get back on track.
Derrick Henry, who led the league in rushing in 2019 and 2020, and was second last year, is only 51 yards back of McCaffrey with the same amount of games remaining. Will Levis has rejuvenated the Titans' offense, which is relying heavily on Henry to take pressure off their rookie quarterback.
One player not listed who is a huge long shot, but who needs to be considered, is Dolphins rookie De'Von Achane at +6000. He's expected to be back from injury following Miami's bye and sits at 460 rush yards on the year. In games where he received more than one carry, Achane is averaging 151.6 yards on the ground. That number is obviously unsustainable, but there's a chance he's the most explosive back in the league and could catch McCaffrey with a few more 150-yard games.
Most Receiving Yards| Player | Odds | Current Rec. Yds. |
|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | -125 | 1076 |
| A.J. Brown | +350 | 1005 |
| Stefon Diggs | +1000 | 834 |
| CeeDee Lamb | +1100 | 824 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +1100 | 697 |
| Keenan Allen | +2500 | 720 |
| Puka Nacua | +2500 | 827 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +4000 | 665 |
| Adam Thielen | +6000 | 610 |
| Amari Cooper | +6000 | 617 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +6000 | 620 |
| DJ Moore | +6000 | 735 |
| Nico Collins | +6000 | 631 |
Odds via theScore Bet. Players priced above +6000 are not listed.
Tyreek Hill tops the betting board at -125 with his 71-yard advantage over A.J. Brown. Like Tagovailoa's lead, however, Hill's is also shrinking, largely because of the torrid seven-game run Brown is on.
While it's hard to envision anyone tracking down these two with nine weeks remaining, CeeDee Lamb looks to be their stiffest competition. The Cowboys' top wideout has found another gear over his past three games, reeling in 466 yards worth of catches. Dallas is also past their bye week, which gives Lamb a slight edge over Stefon Diggs.
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