Article 6KAN0 Scheifele to take flight vs. Predators on Wednesday night

Scheifele to take flight vs. Predators on Wednesday night

by
Todd Cordell
from on (#6KAN0)
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There are only four games scheduled for Wednesday night, but there's still plenty of value on the board. Let's comb through it.

Mark Scheifele: Over 0.5 assists

Jets head coach Rick Bowness often puts Scheifele in favorable offensive situations on home ice, meaning he generally avoids top lines and pairings and doesn't face the most difficult matchups.

Scheifele has assisted on at least one goal in 59% of his home games this season. That's a massive discrepancy from his 32% hit rate on the road, where he often sees the opposition's best two-way personnel.

Although the Predators are a quality team, Scheifele is well-positioned to create another goal in this game.

At even strength, he's centering Kyle Connor and Nikolaj Ehlers, two shot-first players who generate chances at extremely efficient rates. Scheifele will focus more on distributing than shooting at five-on-five, and it'll be the same on the power play.

With newcomer Tyler Toffoli immediately stepping in on the man advantage, the Jets have another legitimate scoring threat on the first power-play outfit. Toffoli, Connor and Sean Monahan - who leads Winnipeg's top unit in chances since joining the team - are all scoring threats.

Scheifele will be surrounded by volume shooters and quality finishers every time he hops over the boards. Expect him to take advantage.

Odds: +125 (playable to +100)

Evander Kane: Over 2.5 shots

Kane is a monster at home, averaging 3.3 shots on 6.2 attempts per game. He's gone over his total at an impressive 67% clip and often clears his line, generating at least four shots on goal in five consecutive hits at home.

He was recently taken off Leon Draisaitl's line and placed on the third unit alongside Adam Henrique. I don't think that's such a bad thing: Henrique's scoring comes from efficiency rather than volume. He's only recorded four shots through three games in Edmonton and often defers to his linemates. Kane should benefit from that.

The matchup looks quite good as well. The Capitals are giving up a lot of shot volume right now, conceding more shot attempts per 60 minutes than all but five teams over their last 10 road contests. Their bottom lines have given up the most volume - and Kane should see a steady dose of them in this spot.

Odds: -125 (playable to -140)

Nathan MacKinnon: Under 4.5 shots

Fading MacKinnon is always a scary proposition, but I see value in it on Wednesday night.

MacKinnon is in a back-to-back against the Canucks. He hasn't fared well in these scenarios this season, averaging just three shots per game while failing to go over his total in all five tries. And Vancouver is a strong shot-suppression team, adding an extra challenge.

Valeri Nichushkin's recent return is a factor as well. MacKinnon has gone over 4.5 shots just 37% of the time with Nichushkin in the lineup, a far cry from the 63% rate he's hit at without the power winger.

Odds: -110 (playable to -130)

Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.

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