Johnston, Robertson to cook vs. Coyotes
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Tuesday was a disappointing night for shot props. We split our plays in the early games but Adrian Kempe was unable to bring us home, failing to record a shot over the final 30 minutes against Chicago and losing by the hook.
We'll look to get back in the win column with a few more props for Wednesday's NHL card.
Dylan Strome: Over 0.5 pointsStrome is quietly having another very nice season for the Capitals. He has 53 points through 67 games and has produced consistently throughout the campaign.
Strome has registered at least one point in 56% of his games this season. He's played particularly well in Washington, where his success rate is flirting with 60% and he's hit in 11 of his past 15 (73%).
Strome and Tom Wilson have meshed well together at even strength. They've helped a mediocre Capitals team control 56.4% of the expected goals and 55.8% of the high-danger chances.
The 27-year-old Strome should be able to help facilitate plenty of chances at even strength and on the top power play, where he sits first on Washington in assists and second to Alex Ovechkin in points.
The Maple Leafs aren't a great defensive team, and Joseph Woll has conceded 10 goals on 84 shots since returning from injury. The Capitals should be able to net at least a couple in this spot, and I like Strome's chances of being involved.
Odds: -115 (playable to -130)
Wyatt Johnston: Over 0.5 pointsJohnston is playing his best hockey of the season alongside Jamie Benn and highly touted prospect Logan Stankoven. The 20-year-old Johnston has produced 1.3 points per contest over the past 10 games while finding the scoresheet in eight of them. His shot rates are way up as well, as he's averaging 3.9 shots in that span (his season average is 2.6).
Johnston finds himself in a great matchup to stay hot against the Coyotes. They're playing poor defensive hockey, ranking dead last in expected goal suppression over the last 10 games.
Making matters worse is that their goaltending has tailed off. Connor Ingram was great for much of the season but owns a .888 save percentage and 3.52 goals against average over his last 10 starts.
Karel Vejmelka hasn't fared much better, posting an .897 save percentage in his past 10 games.
With Johnston at the top of his game, he should be able to find the scoresheet against a bad defensive team with two struggling goaltenders.
Jason Robertson: Over 2.5 shotsRobertson hasn't generated shots as prolifically this season as last, but I like his chances of making noise in this spot.
He's fared better at home this season, generating three shots per game on 6.2 attempts. That compares favorably to the 2.6 shots on 5.5 attempts he's produced when playing on the road.
It's all about the matchup for Robertson, though. He's feasted on the Coyotes in the past, recording an average of 4.6 shots over his last five meetings against them. That includes a seven-shot performance when the two sides last met back in November.
The Stars are in an air-tight battle with the Jets and Avalanche for the top two seeds in the Central Division. They need every point they can get, which means they won't take the Coyotes lightly.
Robertson should see a full workload in this game and be pushing to produce offense so long as it's remotely close. Three shots isn't a lot to ask for in a top-tier matchup.
Odds: -145 (playable to -160)
Todd Cordell is a sports betting writer at theScore. You can follow him on X at @ToddCordell.
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