Seahawks vs Patriots Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for the Super Bowl
The Seattle Seahawks face off against the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl on Sunday, February 8.
Both teams went 14-3 in the regular season, but Seattle faced a much tougher schedule, and my Seahawks vs. Patriots predictions and NFL picks think that will be evident in this game.
Seahawks vs Patriots predictionSeahawks vs Patriots Best bet: Seahawks -4.5 (-110)
The Seattle Seahawks have the fifth-best DVOA (including playoffs) in NFL history since the stat started being tracked in 1978, while the New England Patriots have benefited from playing against the weakest schedule in the league.
Drake Maye has overcome this team's subpar talent, butNew England is averaging just 4.3 yards per play in the playoffs. He'll get pummeled by a Seattle defense that led the league in defensive EPA.
Meanwhile,Sam Darnold has looked sharp and is surrounded by weapons in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp, and Kenneth Walker III. They'll get the job done in SB LX.
Seahawks vs Patriots same-game parlayDarnold is playing the best football of his career and is fresh off a 346-yard performance against the Rams. He should be able to move the ball against a middling New England pass defense that's benefited from poor QB play the last two weeks.
With Pro Bowl corner Christian Gonzalez shadowing Smith-Njigba, expect Cooper Kupp to be heavily targeted by Darnold. The sure-handed veteran had five catches for 60 yards in the Divisional Round before reeling in four of six targets for 36 yards in the NFC Championship Game.
Seahawks vs Patriots SGP- Seahawks -4.5
- Sam Darnold Over 227.5 passing yards
- Cooper Kupp Over 29.5 receiving yards
Kupp has been targeted 14 times in the red zone in 18 total games. However, 10 of those targets have come in the last eight weeks after Tory Horton suffered a season-ending injury.
He found the end zone last week, and the Pats allowed 17 TDs to wide receivers in the regular season - the seventh-highest number in the NFL.
Seahawks vs Patriots SGP- Seahawks -4.5
- Sam Darnold Over 227.5 passing yards
- Cooper Kupp Over 29.5 receiving yards
- Cooper Kupp anytime touchdown
Both teams went 14-3 in the regular season, but the Seahawks faced the fourth-toughest schedule in the league, per TeamRankings, while New England had the easiest slate. I was also more impressed by Seattle's close win against the Rams last week than by the Pats scraping by a Broncos side led by a backup QB.
Prediction: Seahawks 24-17
Seahawks vs Patriots spread predictionI'm backing the Seahawks, who have more offensive weapons and the league's best defense.
Seahawks vs Patriots Over/Under predictionThe Pats offense has been stifled by strong defenses in the playoffs, with Drake Maye absorbing five sacks in every game. The same story will play out against an elite Seattle stop unit that generates pressure without blitzing.
The Seahawks could also have issues scoring at their usual level. New England's stout run defense should contain Kenneth Walker III, while Smith-Njigba will have a tough matchup against Gonzalez. The Under is never a sexy bet, but it looks like the right play for SB LX.
Seahawks vs Patriots odds- Spread: Seahawks -4.5 | Patriots +4.5
- Moneyline: Seahawks -235 | Patriots +195
- Over/Under: Over 46 | Under 46
Teams that failed to cover the spread in their Conference Championship Game are 4-10 SU and 2-11-1 ATS in the Super Bowl. Find moreNFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Patriots.
How to watch Seahawks vs Patriots| Location | Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA |
| Date | Sunday, February 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
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