Transistors will stop shrinking in 2021, but Moore’s law will live on
by Sebastian Anthony from Ars Technica - All content on (#1NDF8)
Transistors will stop shrinking after 2021, but Moore's law will probably continue, according to the final International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (ITRS).
The ITRS-which has been produced almost annually by a collaboration of most of the world's major semiconductor companies since 1993-is about as authoritative as it gets when it comes to predicting the future of computing. The 2015 roadmap will however be its last.
The most interesting aspect of the ITRS is that it tries to predict what materials and processes we might be using in the next 15 years. The idea is that, by collaborating on such a roadmap, the companies involved can sink their R&D money into the "right" technologies.
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