Article 360Y9 First UK interest rate rise in a decade still likely despite modest growth

First UK interest rate rise in a decade still likely despite modest growth

by
Larry Elliott
from on (#360Y9)

The absence of a post-Brexit vote recession, potential wage inflation and the Bank's hawkish comments all point toward a rise

It wasn't much, but for the Bank of England the slight pickup in growth will probably be enough to trigger the first increase in official interest rates in more than a decade.

The economy's trend rate of growth is a touch above 2% a year, so by that benchmark the 0.4% rise in gross domestic product in the third quarter was modest. Growth has been weaker in the first three quarters of 2017 than it was in the six months after the June 2016 EU referendum.

Related: UK interest rate rise likely as GDP beats forecast to grow by 0.4%

Related: Can an interest rate rise halt UK inflation? Experts debate the data

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