Article 4H0QB The unusual US economic recovery is now its longest

The unusual US economic recovery is now its longest

by
Mohamed El-Erian
from Economics | The Guardian on (#4H0QB)

Beneath the low unemployment figures and long-awaited wage growth lie risks that can't be ignored

Data released over the next few months will show that the current US economic expansion is the longest on record. But while the US continues to outperform other advanced economies, this success has yet to dispel many Americans' persistent sense of economic insecurity and frustration; nor does it alleviate concerns about the lack of policy space to respond to the next economic downturn or financial shock.

The current expansion began in mid-2009, following the 2008 financial crisis and the "Great Recession". Powered initially by exceptional fiscal interventions and previously unthinkable monetary policies, the economy built enough of a foundation for private sector confidence to return, and for corporate balance sheets to recover. Coupled with accelerating advances in new technologies, the expansion came to be led in large part by technology and platform companies presiding over the new "gig economy". It was given further impetus by pro-growth measures, including deregulation and tax cuts.

Related: Critics of quantitative easing should consider the alternative | Barry Eichengreen

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